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25 December 2024

North Korea Deepens Military Ties With Russia Amid Russo-Ukrainian War

Troop deployments and arms supplies raise alarm over geopolitical ramifications for Ukraine and its allies.

North Korea's military involvement alongside Russia during the Russo-Ukrainian War underscored the deepening cooperation between the two nations. This alliance raises significant concerns, especially considering the reported human costs and the geopolitical ramifications.

According to reports from The Wall Street Journal, North Korea is ramping up its ammunition and weapon production to support Russia's military efforts, providing extensive military resources as part of this growing partnership. Preliminary estimates suggest Russia has already paid North Korea approximately $5.5 billion for weapons and $576 million for North Korean troop support. Defense Express articulates the weight of these calculations: "These amounts — $5.5 billion for weapons and $576 million for troops — carry significant weight." With North Korea supplying millions of artillery shells — accounting for approximately 60% of Russian forces' stockpile — the costs on both sides seem surprisingly manageable.

North Korea has sent about 12,000 troops to fight for Russia, with many deployed to the strategic Kursk region, where fighting is currently intense. Reports indicate these troops are engaged actively as expendable frontline assault units, facing substantial casualties. Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky highlighted this issue on social media, stating, "According to preliminary data, the number of killed and wounded North Korean soldiers... exceeds 3,000 people." This statement came on the heels of numerous debate-provoking figures released by South Korean military officials.

These grim figures are echoed by South Korea's Joint Chiefs of Staff (JCS), which noted, "We assess North Korean troops... have suffered around 1,100 casualties." The high casualty rates are attributed to North Korean soldiers' unfamiliarity with the battlefield and vulnerability to Ukrainian counterattacks. Lee Seong-kweun, a South Korean MP, explained, "The high number of casualties could be attributed to the 'unfamiliar battlefield environment... and their lack of capability to counter drone attacks.'" Indeed, it seems the North Korean soldiers are found to be ill-equipped for the complex and rapidly shifting dynamics of contemporary warfare.

The recent release of a handwritten letter from a deceased North Korean soldier has highlighted the personal costs of this military involvement. Written to celebrate the birthday of his comrade, the letter poignantly reflects the emotional turmoil faced by soldiers far from home. Ukrainian military officials reported, "Dear Song Ji-myong, my closest comrade... celebrating his birthday here on Russian land." It provides insight not only on the human experience of war but also on the recruitment of North Korean troops, potentially unaware of the harsh realities they now face.

Simultaneously, the breadth of North Korea's material support extends beyond troop deployments. Reports indicate the regime has also provided Russia with millions of artillery shells, anti-tank rockets, mechanized howitzers, and self-propelled artillery. With such provisions, the possibility of North Korea capitalizing on this engagement to advance its military technology becomes evident — as noted by South Korea's JCS, "This could lead to an increase in the North's military threat toward us." Analysts fear the long-term danger posed by this military cooperation extends far beyond the current conflict.

The international response to North Korea's involvement has been one of alarm, particularly among US and allied nations. The North Korean regime's continued support for Russia’s military endeavors has prompted responses calling for the cessation of such activities. A US statement urged North Korea to "cease immediately all assistance for Russia’s war of aggression against Ukraine." This coordinated reaction from multiple countries reflects growing apprehension about the potential for increased North Korean military capabilities being tested and refined on the Ukrainian battlefield.

Despite the potential for greater military engagement, North Korea has remained evasive about its true intentions and the scale of its troop deployments. The North Korean foreign ministry has described criticism from the US and its allies as "reckless provocation," indicating the regime's attempts to portray its military cooperation with Russia as merely defensive or cooperative.

The conflict has thrust North Korea and Russia together, as both authoritarian regimes find common ground against Western influences. The ramifications of this alliance could have lasting impacts on regional security dynamics as they bolster one another’s military capabilities, potentially broadening the conflict beyond Ukraine.

North Korea's military support for Russia during the war is not only telling of the alliance’s depth but also indicative of the challenges set forth for democratic nations. This cooperation increases the risk of military escalation, showcasing the need for strategic responses by Ukraine and its allies as they navigate the complex terrain brought about by this unprecedented military alliance.

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