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Economy
31 January 2025

Nigeria's Urgent Economic Reforms Amid Rising Poverty

President Tinubu's administration faces mounting challenges as it seeks to bolster the economy and empower citizens.

Nigeria stands at a pivotal moment, grappling with the weight of economic hardships and the burdens of poverty. Under the leadership of President Bola Tinubu, the government is endeavoring to navigate this tumultuous terrain through the implementation of the "Renewed Hope Agenda," aiming to address the myriad issues afflicting the nation. Yet, as the country confronts these challenges, good intentions alone will not suffice.

The indicators are troubling. With unemployment reaching alarming heights, Nigeria has been designated the poverty capital of the world. Recent data reflects this grim reality: approximately 14 million additional Nigerians have been thrust below the poverty line within the last 18 months alone, exacerbated by the stark reality of 133.3 million individuals already experiencing multidimensional poverty. A report from the World Bank, warning of drastic measures needed within the next few years, foretells of Nigeria potentially accounting for a quarter of the world’s poor population by 2029. The urgency for reform has never been clearer.

“To all citizens, your sacrifices have not been in vain over the past 19 months. I assure you they will not be in vain even in the months ahead,” President Tinubu assured the public during his New Year message, urging stability and commitment to nation-building. Yet, the question looms: are these reforms and promises enough to repair the fractures within Nigerian society?

Emerging from the shadows of recession, Nigeria needs to deploy effective strategies immediately. On the surface, the Tinubu administration noted some progress—a gradual decline in fuel prices, three consecutive quarters of foreign trade surpluses, and improved foreign reserves. The strengthening of the Naira against the US dollar, along with heightened stock market activity generating significant wealth, reflects promising economic indicators. Nonetheless, the price of food and essentials still poses significant concern for many households.

“Our government is committed to intensifying efforts to lower these costs,” Tinubu stated, as he set the agenda for 2025, promising to bolster domestic food production and encourage local manufacturing of medical supplies. This will hopefully ease the burden on Nigerian citizens facing rampant inflation, which is currently hovering at 34.6%.

Structural reform is at the heart of Tinubu’s agenda. Among other initiatives, the establishment of the National Credit Guarantee Company aims to widen access to credit for entrepreneurs and underserved populations. This move seeks to empower women and youth, populations often overlooked, fostering economic growth and improved living standards.

Nonetheless, opposition from entities like the Peoples Democratic Party (PDP) calls attention to the government's tendency to focus more on “hopeless rhetoric” than concrete actions. “The last 18 months have been the most excruciated period to Nigerians since the Civil War,” lamented PDP spokesperson Debo Ologunagba, emphasizing satisfaction is low as citizens yearn for immediate solutions to fuel prices and food insecurity.

At the same time, former Vice President Atiku Abubakar rallied citizens to stay vigilant, urging “careful observation of the actions of political leaders” throughout 2025. His words resonate as Nigerians grapple with the pressing realities of political accountability and economic resilience.

Yet, amid difficulties, there are glimmers of hope. Former Edo State Governor Godwin Obaseki expressed optimism, proclaiming, “Let us dare to be confident کہ Nigeria will prevail and emerge much stronger.” He encapsulated the sentiment of many who are hoping for stabilization and growth as Nigeria carries its scars yet perseveres.

The populace, too, must cultivate faith, stamina, and collective participation. Anti-corruption sentiments voiced by leaders like the EFCC's Ola Olukoyede highlight the importance of societal integrity and transparency, asserting, “We can make any progress and development we want for our nation to happen by our support for anti-corruption initiatives.” The narrative is clear: enduring transformation cannot occur without active engagement from citizens and commitment from political leaders.

The road to recovery is laden with obstacles, yet Nigeria’s vast resources, youthful population, and resilience could pave the way toward renewed prosperity. Drawing wisdom from international examples, like China’s resilient transformation post-1978, Nigeria could similarly emerge as a formidable economic force, contingent on policies precisely aligned with its unique circumstances.

With 2025 looming as a year of promise, all eyes are now on President Tinubu and his administration to fulfill the hopes of millions. Can the revitalization of Nigeria’s economy and the alleviation of poverty be achieved? Only through tenacity, unity, and unwavering leadership will the nation realize its potential.? Each citizen plays a role; each reform must be judiciously executed.