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Health
01 December 2024

NHS Grampian Declares Critical Incident Amid Overcapacity

Health board faces unprecedented pressure, leading to patient diversions and urgent action

NHS Grampian has been under significant strain recently, leading to the declaration of what they termed as a "board level major incident" due to overwhelming patient numbers. This situation, which surfaced on Thursday, saw the Aberdeen Royal Infirmary (ARI) grappling with extremely high pressure, prompting the health board to divert certain patients to other hospitals for treatment.

According to statisticians at NHS Grampian, both the Aberdeen Royal and Dr. Gray's Hospital in Elgin have been operating significantly beyond their intended capacity since September, with ARI hovering at around 111% occupancy and Dr. Gray's seeing averages as high as 124%. Such overcapacity inevitably leads to the need for patient diversion, which complicated the healthcare environment, resulting in this unprecedented incident.

By Friday, there seemed to be some hope as NHS Grampian reported slight improvements. Adam Coldwells, the CEO of NHS Grampian, expressed gratitude to the hard-working staff and partner agencies, stating, "Thanks to the hard work of our colleagues and our partner agencies, we have reached a point where we have been able to stand down the board level major incident." On the following Saturday, NHS Grampian confirmed the resolution of the incident, indicating they had ceased diverting emergency ambulances away from Grampian.

Throughout the tumultuous period, the hospitals assured the public and patients alike—especially those requiring urgent or life-saving treatment—that they were still able to admit such cases without issue. Coldwells clarified, "We must thank our colleagues across health and social care, who have been working tirelessly to keep things moving through this complex and challenging situation."
Patients with non-emergency conditions were the bulk of those being diverted, but the pressure had not entirely dissipated. The health authority indicated it was still faced with historically high demand and congestion across the healthcare system.

Interestingly, the NHS struggled with not just patient numbers but also issues like delayed discharges from hospitals, which had become increasingly frequent. Just days prior, NHS Grampian announced there were 199 delayed discharges system-wide, accounting for approximately 13% of all beds occupied at the time. Coldwells noted, "Since January 1, 2024, we have seen a 26% rise in patients whose discharge has been delayed across the region."
To ameliorate the conditions, NHS Grampian requested the public’s support, encouraging families to visit friends or relatives who were due for discharge. Quick visits can assist medical staff as they try to free up beds for incoming patients. Coldwells advised, "If possible, meet your friends or relatives before midday. This way, we can prepare the bed for the next patient who requires it."
The current situation faced by NHS Grampian emphasizes not only the pressure on facilities but also the extensive interconnectedness of healthcare systems across the region. Coldwells acknowledged enhanced cooperation, saying, "We’d like to thank our colleagues at neighbouring boards and the Scottish Ambulance Service for their exceptional support and assistance."
The population's efforts to manage their health needs are equally encouraged through alternative channels. NHS Grampian advised utilizing NHS Inform for self-care guidance and urged consulting with local GPs or pharmacies for non-emergency advice. This outreach is timely, as they seek to improve patient flow and reduce wait times across the healthcare network.

Despite the measured improvements, NHS Grampian cautions the public and stakeholders: conditions remain difficult. Coldwells provided insight, stating, "Although we are now in a slightly improved position, the pressure across our healthcare system remains historically high due to multiple factors: the sheer volume of acutely ill patients, high numbers of delayed discharges, constraints within community healthcare settings, and staffing pressures." With winter approaching it raises concerns over how such pressures may affect patient care even more severely.

Challenges aren’t merely confined to NHS Grampian, but reflect broader healthcare issues confronted across Scotland and the United Kingdom at large, including staff shortages, funding mandates, and growing populations needing care. The impacts of these systemic pressures are extensive, leading to debates on resource allocation and the future structure of the National Health Service itself.

Coldwells, responding to the complex nature of healthcare provision, stated, "These sudden changes can be difficult," offering apologies to individuals affected by changes mandated during the incident. Restoring confidence will take time, especially as they now descend and adjust to recovery phases.

Moving forward, NHS Grampian will focus not only on addressing the immediate care needs of patients but also evaluating systemic efficiencies for future occurrences. "We now enter recovery mode, which will incorporate comprehensive reviews aimed at enhancing our response mechanisms," Coldwells indicated. NHS Grampian is set to update stakeholders on these developments at their board meeting scheduled for December 12.

The recent incident at NHS Grampian serves as both a cautionary tale and potential road map for other health boards dealing with similar situations. After months of unprecedented pressure, the healthcare community sends out a message of reassurance, collaboration, and the continued appeal for public awareness and cooperation.

Indeed, the health of the community and the morale of healthcare staff depend on the engagement and support of the public, as demonstrated by recent events. The hope is to restore normalcy as NHS Grampian transitions through recovery, reinforcing the importance of collaboration within our health systems to adapt, expand, and improve.”