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Science
16 March 2025

New Model Boosts Solar Power Generation Predictions By Including Wind Flow Effects

Researchers propose integrating local wind dynamics to optimize solar energy output across Uganda's regions.

A New Study Integrates Wind Flow Effects to Improve Solar Power Generation Predictions for Various Regions in Uganda

A recent study proposes innovative modeling methods to optimize solar power generation by considering local wind flow impacts, enhancing energy efficiency across Uganda’s diverse regions.

The increasing demand for sustainable energy solutions has brought solar power generation to the forefront of discussions about renewable resources. Despite its significance, the extent to which local factors such as wind flow influence solar irradiance and power generation has remained largely unexamined. Addressing this gap, researchers from Kampala International University have developed a groundbreaking differential model aimed at optimizing solar power generation predictions across Uganda.

The study, published on March 15, 2025, finds remarkable regional variations, showing the northern region yielded the highest solar power generation—measured at 132.8 Wm-2. The eastern region closely followed with 132.7 Wm-2, the western region at 127.2 Wm-2, and the central region at 119.6 Wm-2. This comprehensive analysis confirms the model’s validity through error analysis, yielding RMSE values of 0.9701, 0.8215, and 6.4186 for the northern, central, and western regions, respectively.

Uganda, with its average global horizontal irradiation of 1680 kWh/m2 per year, has significant solar potential. The need for innovative models to accurately represent solar power capabilities at specific locations is underscored, especially since approximately 5.3 million households still lack electricity access. The present study suggests optimal locations for solar facility placements can be identified by integrating both solar irradiance and wind flow effects.

The researchers employed a hybrid methodology, utilizing empirical measurements alongside computational modeling techniques. Their experimental setup comprised two photovoltaic generators, each rated at 80 W under Standard Test Conditions (STC). Ambient temperature, wind speed, output current, and output voltage were recorded at consistent intervals from 8:00 AM to 6:00 PM to validate the model's predictions.

Key findings spur optimism for solar energy deployment throughout Uganda. The research highlights how integrating localized wind dynamics with solar power generation leads to more reliable and effective solar energy models. The differential model enhances estimations of solar power capacity by accounting for real-world elements often overlooked by previous studies.

This work reveals the importance of regional adjustments, ensuring heightened accuracy for feasibility studies on solar power deployment strategies. The north and eastern regions demonstrate particularly favorable environments for solar installations, urging investors and policymakers to prioritize these areas for future solar projects.

The study notes, "Our approach not only refines theoretical estimations but also bridges the gap between predicted advantages and practical solar power performance." This innovative perspective offers valuable insights as Uganda continues its quest for increased energy independence through renewable sources.

By embracing the synergy between solar and wind data, the proposed model sets the stage for future assessments of solar power potential at greater scales and depth. The study concludes by advocating for comprehensive solar potential assessments to fully tap the available renewable resources across Uganda, guiding investments toward solar energy solutions capable of addressing the pressing needs of millions.