The NBA DFS landscape is buzzing as March 19, 2025, presents a gigantic 11-game featured slate locking at 7:00 p.m. ET on FanDuel and DraftKings. Enthusiasts are looking for the optimal picks as superstars Luka Doncic and Nikola Jokic prepare to square off in a game that could redefine fantasy scoring options this season. Here’s a breakdown of the best NBA DFS picks for this evening, including insights about injuries that shape the lineups and provide opportunities for savvy players.
Starting with standout picks, Alexandre Sarr is projected at a salary of $6,400 for the night, with anticipated stats of 19.5 points, 7.7 rebounds, 3.4 assists, and 2.6 stocks. He is stepping into a critical role for the Washington Wizards given the injury woes of Jordan Poole, who is doubtful, and the absence of Khris Middleton, Marcus Smart, and Corey Kispert. Despite some cautiousness about his potential minutes, Sarr’s opportunity is too substantial to overlook in this matchup.
Colby Jones, sitting at $3,200, may not be a household name yet, but he’s making waves with projected stats of 9.0 points, 5.4 rebounds, and 3.0 assists. His affordability and role during a shorthanded game make him an intriguing value play tonight. During his last game, Jones saw 25 minutes, and with the Wizards' thin roster, he could easily replicate or exceed that tonight.
Chet Holmgren is another player to watch closely. Priced at $7,600, he’s projected to haul in 22.0 points, 8.9 rebounds, and 2.7 assists as the offensive centerpiece for the Oklahoma City Thunder while Shai Gilgeous-Alexander and Jalen Williams remain out with injuries. Holmgren is expected to provide substantial output against the Philadelphia 76ers, especially if they start Oshae Brissett at center.
Kenrich Williams, at only $3,200, showcases promising stats of 11.9 points, 5.8 rebounds, and 3.0 assists. With Oklahoma City’s roster thinned out due to injuries, Williams has seen significant playing time. If other key players stay sidelined, Williams’ role will only continue to grow on this slate.
However, the spotlight rightly belongs to A.J. Johnson, a rookie point guard priced at $3,500. Johnson is expected to start for the Wizards and is projected to gather 13.8 points, 3.6 rebounds, and 5.9 assists. With Poole's exclusion and other injuries affecting the team, Johnson is becoming a priority pick for many as he steps into a pivotal playmaking role.
As the matchup between the Wizards and Utah Jazz unfolds, the stakes are particularly high, as both teams vie not to finish with the league's worst record this season. The Jazz, currently tied with Washington for the fewest victories in the league at 15, are also facing injuries with notable players Walker Kessler and Svi Mykhailiuk ruled out. The Wizards have lost Corey Kispert for the remainder of the year, leaving them scrambling to adjust their lineup. This storyline only amplifies the excitement surrounding the evening’s games.
The pair-up of Luka Doncic and Nikola Jokic highlights the evening's gaming calendar. Doncic, leading the Mavericks without LeBron James, is projected for an impressive 64.19 on DraftKings at a hefty price of $12,500, while averaging over 33 points, 10 rebounds, and assistance minutes. He aims to continue his dominance on the court alongside Jokic, who boasts career highs this season with an exceptional production line of 29.1 points, 10.3 assists, and 12.8 rebounds. Both players are must-plays if you're looking at enhancing your fantasy lineup.
Beyond the heavyweights, the betting landscape is showcasing sharp analytics, too, particularly with Fred VanVleet’s prop of 2.5 made three-pointers at a favorable +150. With an 8.2% expected value behind this wager, thanks to the expected shot volume he’ll have tonight, savvy bettors are already taking notice. The 6’0 guard is shaking off injuries from earlier in the season and has been gaining momentum, attempting over seven three-pointers per game with improved efficiency.
With the game clock ticking down to tip-off, NBA DFS players are urged to keep an eye on live updates involving lineups and player statuses. Resources like the NBA DFS Starting Lineups Page are invaluable for real-time adjustments that could give you the edge in finalizing your lineups. In a world where every fantasy point matters, being ready for changes is crucial.
In summary, tonight's matchups not only feature heavy-hitting fantasy stars but also present an unprecedented opportunity for value-driven players. With rosters in disarray due to injuries, young players like Sarr and Johnson should find themselves at the forefront, while established stars Doncic and Jokic remain pivotal to any successful lineup. The sagas that unfold will certainly shape the fantasy landscape for the immediate future. Enjoy the games!