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Science
05 August 2024

NASA Faces Crucial Decision On Astronaut Return

Safety concerns push agency to weigh options as Boeing's Starliner encounters issues

NASA is facing one of its tightest decisions yet: whether to risk sending astronauts back to Earth aboard Boeing's Starliner capsule or to opt for SpaceX's Crew Dragon spacecraft as a backup. This dilemma gained urgency after troubling reports about Starliner's thrusters—which are critical for controlling the craft—failed during docking maneuvers at the International Space Station (ISS). The Starliner has been in orbit for over two months now, extending its mission as concerns over its safety grow. Initially, the intention was to keep the spacecraft occupied for just nine days, but those plans have shifted as investigations continue.

NASA’s discussions about the Starliner’s safety have been anything but smooth. While the agency has publicly stated its trust in Boeing, internal sources reveal unease among NASA staff about trusting the Starliner for the astronauts' return. NASA had previously noted the thruster failures as isolated incidents, but uncertainty over the root cause remains. Boeing is optimistic and insists its Starliner is prepared for crew return. Boeing's vice president of the Starliner program, Mark Nappi, highlighted, "We remain confident in the Starliner spacecraft and its ability to return safely with crew," though this confidence hasn’t fully quelled NASA's concerns.

Consider this: the Starliner capsule, which has undergone extensive testing and is considered the primary vehicle for transferring astronauts, also faces intense scrutiny because it has suffered multiple setbacks. NASA’s Commercial Crew Program, established to send astronauts to the ISS via American spacecraft, has already seen its fair share of turbulence—pun intended—thanks to delays and technical challenges with both Boeing and SpaceX.

The current situation started to heat up when the thrusters on Starliner encountered issues during the spacecraft's docking. NASA’s focus now lies on whether to return the Starliner knowing it has had these problems or to leave it unmanned, which could be viewed as a failure of confidence—one not easily accepted by the aerospace giant Boeing or NASA itself. If Starliner returns empty, it could reflect poorly on Boeing and jeopardize its role within the Commercial Crew Program.

NASA has deployed multiple discussions among decision-making boards to evaluate the options. Among these boards is the Commercial Crew Program Control Board, which follows NASA's traditional methods back to the Shuttle era. The board assesses risks to astronauts when lofting them to and from space. If dissent arises within the board against sending back astronauts on Starliner, these concerns will escalate up NASA’s command chain, potentially delaying their return.

Meanwhile, Boeing continues to push for its craft's safe return of astronauts Butch Wilmore and Suni Williams. They were launched aboard Starliner for their recent ISS mission, and the team at Boeing believes it’s equipped with adequate flight rationales to manage the re-entry. This mindset reflects hopes rather than certainties, especially with the thruster issues at the forefront of operational decisions.

This brings us back to NASA’s alternative: SpaceX's Crew Dragon spacecraft. If NASA decides to employ this option, they can simply move seats from the Crew-9 mission arriving soon to accommodate Wilmore and Williams. This would allow NASA to maintain mission integrity and safety, albeit with the added complexity of managing unexpected alterations to planned flights.

What adds layers of tension to this situation is the very real concern for astronaut safety. With every decision made, there's pressure to keep those on board safe and secure, especially in light of earlier incidents. It’s tough enough managing regular space travel logistics, let alone when the spacecraft showing alarming signs of malfunction is not the one initially intended for reuse.

NASA’s mission command has emphasized safety throughout its human spaceflight initiatives. Returning astronauts on Starliner, which could still harbor unresolved thruster issues, poses substantial risk. If the craft fails during re-entry, the consequences could be dire and politically damaging, not just for Boeing, but for NASA’s Congressional stakeholders as well.

But here’s where trust gets tricky. The spacecraft’s recent tests reported successes—27 of Starliner's 28 thrusters reportedly functioning correctly—but the unresolved malfunctioning unit raises swell of doubts over mechanical reliability. Failure to know why the thrusters malfunctioned is troubling for engineers and adds pressure to the decision-making teams within both organizations.

Every time Starliner is mentioned, the history of failure and delay looms. After coping with numerous setbacks—totaling over $1.5 billion lost on the Starliner project—Boeing's reputation within the industry and with NASA hangs by thin threads. If the agency opts for SpaceX instead of Boeing, the latter might cut its losses and withdraw from the Commercial Crew Program altogether—an outcome neither organization desires.

Should NASA stand behind Boeing and allow the Starliner to bring its astronauts back, they would be placed under considerable scrutiny if any issues arise during return. Also, sending Starliner empty could be interpreted as conceding to its inadequacies, leaving Boeing’s future collaborations with NASA uncertain.

Navigated through this maze of technical challenges, financial repercussions, and safety commitments, NASA still pushes forward. The agency is scheduled to meet again soon with its Commercial Crew Program board to discuss the future of Starliner and how to approach the astronauts’ return safely. They’ve reassured the public, stating it’s committed to ensuring astronaut safety remains their principal concern. Returning the crew safely to Earth, whether aboard Starliner or another vessel, remains their top priority.

Ultimately, NASA faces critical decisions about both its current and future endeavors as it continues to evolve American astronauts' access to space. How it maneuvers through these treacherous waters will set the tone for future collaborations and reaffirm the agency's commitment to space exploration, culminating with the astronauts on board being brought safely back home.

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