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11 December 2024

Mondelez Pursues Potential Hershey Acquisition

The chocolate market buzzes as Mondelez eyes Hershey to form one of the largest snack food powerhouses

The world of confectionary is buzzing with the possibility of a major merger as Mondelez International, the parent company of beloved brands like Oreo and Cadbury, eyes the Hershey Company for potential acquisition. Following reports of preliminary discussions, shares of Hershey shot up nearly 15%, reflecting investor optimism over the prospect of creating one of the largest snack food giants globally.

This isn’t the first time Mondelez has attempted to acquire Hershey. Back in 2016, Mondelez made headlines with a $23 billion bid, which Hershey’s board flatly rejected, considering it undervalued the company. Now, more than seven years later, the chocolate titan, known for its iconic products including Reese's Peanut Butter Cups and Hershey’s Kisses, might find itself at the negotiation table once again.

Reports suggest Mondelez's renewed interest stems from the changing dynamics of the snack market. The combination of both companies could generate roughly $50 billion in annual sales, merging their extensive portfolios of not only candy but also various snack products. To put it plainly, it could mean more options for consumers and heavyweights dominating the grocery aisles.

The recent uptick in Hershey's stock is telling. They opened at around $174.05 and surged to approximately $193.65 following news of the talks. Meanwhile, Mondelez's stock faced some fluctuations, closing at about $61.44 after opening at $62.79. Despite the excitement, neither company has publicly commented on the specifics of the acquisition talks, which leaves plenty of room for speculation.

Hershey’s unique governance structure plays a pivotal role here. The Hershey Trust, which holds the majority of voting rights, has historically been reticent about relinquishing control over the company. This trust, which also funds the Hershey School, holds 79% of the voting power. Adding to the complexity, any acquisition would also need to navigate Pennsylvania laws which permit the attorney general to intervene if the deal would strip away trust powers.

Analysts are divided over whether this deal will progress. Some experts believe Hershey is more vulnerable now than it has been in the past due to various market pressures and financial challenges. For example, rising cocoa costs and increasing competition present formidable challenges, making Hershey’s leadership seem more open to discussions than they might have been previously. The Hershey Company has seen its stock price decline about 10% this year, making this moment particularly interesting for potential buyers.

On the other hand, analysts warn there is no guarantee this latest approach will lead to any fruitful negotiations. According to Randal Kenworthy, consumer and industrial products lead at consulting firm West Monroe, the opportunity to combine operational capabilities and major brands creates what he describes as “a compelling opportunity” for Mondelez. By acquiring Hershey, Mondelez would potentially strengthen its foothold not just within the United States but also pave pathways to expansion within European markets.

Historically, each encounter between Mondelez and Hershey has produced significant movements within the stock market, along with heightened excitement among candy lovers. The prospect of merging brands like Cadbury with Reese’s certainly stirs joy for chocolate enthusiasts. The stakes here are high, and Mondelez’s proposals will undoubtedly be dissected carefully by Hershey’s board.

But the future remains uncertain. Recent declines faced by both Mondelez and Hershey—each for different reasons—mean stakeholders will closely monitor how negotiations evolve and whether Hershey’s leadership will change its historic stance against selling the family-oriented brand.

This story is far from over. Should negotiations lead to serious discussions? What will it mean for the future of chocolate and snack offerings? Consumers are left to ponder whether their beloved chocolate bars might soon be part of a larger, perhaps more diversified, product lineup.

The world waits, chocolate lovers’ hearts on edge, as speculation swirls over what promises to be one of the candy industries' biggest stories. Will it be the irresistible sweet revolution, or just another flash of market fireworks? Only time will tell.