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Health
01 January 2025

Mapping TB Prevalence And BCG Coverage Reveals Health Gaps

Spatial analysis highlights regions needing urgent intervention to combat tuberculosis effectively.

The spatial co-distribution of tuberculosis (TB) prevalence and low BCG vaccination coverage presents significant public health challenges for Ethiopia, particularly as the country strives to combat this infectious disease.

Despite efforts to improve general health outcomes, Ethiopia remains one of the high-burden countries for TB, with its nationwide TB prevalence at 0.40%. This study utilized data from national surveys to map the co-distribution of TB and Bacille Calmette-Guérin (BCG) vaccination coverage, which stood at only 47%. Researchers found substantial spatial overlaps where high TB prevalence coincides with areas of low vaccination coverage, especially prominent within border regions such as Afar and Somali.

The findings illuminate the stark reality wherein 58% of locations reporting high TB prevalence also reported low BCG coverage, underlining the urgent need for targeted health interventions. Researchers explained the ecological drivers influencing these distributions, noting increased travel time to health facilities negatively impacted BCG vaccination rates. Despite the geographical hurdles, including access to healthcare services and education, some areas demonstrated effective vaccination strategies, with densely populated regions exhibiting improved coverage.

"Substantial spatial variation in TB prevalence and low BCG coverage was observed at regional and local levels," stated the authors of the article, highlighting the necessity for localized approaches to disease control. These insights can help stakeholders develop region-specific strategies to bolster vaccination efforts and TB interventions.

The study also identified areas, particularly along the borders with Somalia and Eritrea, where communities, often nomadic, face significant barriers to accessing healthcare services, contributing to both the low defenses against TB and heightened disease prevalence. Scaling up BCG vaccination coverage and enhancing TB diagnosis and treatment through improved access to health services for these populations is pivotal.

Future efforts must focus on addressing gaps by implementing integrated public health strategies aimed at increasing both vaccination rates and treatment access across all affected regions. The study calls for future surveys to involve adequate samples representing all geographical scopes to present more precise predictive models.

Improving BCG coverage, particularly in high-prevalence districts, is expected to play a key role moving forward to mitigate TB’s impact on vulnerable communities. Policymakers must prioritize health interventions targeting these hotspots to significantly reduce TB prevalence and related mortality.

Further research is encouraged to understand the ecological and social contributors to these health disparities, ensuring evidence-based actions are taken to safeguard public health throughout Ethiopia.