Madison Keys is set to face Elise Mertens at the Round of 32 of the Indian Wells Open 2025, with the match scheduled for March 10, 2025, at the Indian Wells Tennis Garden in California.
Keys, currently riding high after her triumph at the Australian Open, where she secured her first Grand Slam title, will look to continue her winning streak against Mertens, who won her last two match-ups against the American. Mertens, ranked 28th, pulled off a solid win against Kimberly Birrell, defeating her 6-4, 7-5 and serving ten aces along the way.
This match holds considerable significance for both players. Keys, who has emerged as one of the best players on the circuit, displayed formidable skill and resilience at the Australian Open. Her victories over elite players like Aryna Sabalenka and Elena Rybakina highlighted her aggressive style and ability to deliver under pressure. "It was more than just winning the title; it was about making a statement," Keys noted after her Australian Open success.
Meanwhile, Mertens has also had a commendable start to the year, reaching finals at Hobart and Singapore and claiming the latter title. Her consistency and ability to grind through long rallies make her a tough opponent for anyone, including Keys. "I’m just trying to stay focused and play my game," Mertens said after her win against Birrell.
Historically, Keys has dominated their head-to-head record, leading 3-2. She won their most recent encounter at the US Open third round last year. Still, Mertens’ recent surge and the 14 wins from their 2025 matches (to Keys' 15) introduce uncertainty, leaving fans eager for the showdown. While Mertens has wrestled back some momentum, it’s clear Keys is currently on another level foul the right circumstances.
The latest updates from betting markets reflect this shift in sentiment. Madison Keys is the favorite with odds of -240, whereas Mertens stands at +220. Given the stakes and both players’ recent performances, this promises to be a thrilling contest.
According to Dimers’ advanced tennis model, there’s considerable optimism for Keys, with predictions showing her having approximately 71% likelihood of victory against Mertens, who stands at 29%. The predictions come from thousands of simulated matches and offer insights for those with stakes riding on the outcome.
With each player bringing distinct strengths to the court—Keys with her booming forehand and aggressive play style, and Mertens with her tactical prowess and court coverage—the encounter is sure to deliver thrilling rallies and competitive tennis.
How to tune in? Fans won’t be able to catch the match live on TV within India but can stream it via WTA TV. For those stateside, it will air on the Tennis Channel.
This match's results could have significant ramifications not only for this tournament but also for the season overall, as both players seek to solidify their positions within the WTA rankings and momentum heading toward future events.
All eyes will be on the court as Madison Keys takes on Elise Mertens, making fans curious whether Mertens can turn the tables or if Keys will continue her reign of form.
Stay tuned for updates and analyses as the WTA Indian Wells Open continues, showcasing the best of women’s tennis and thrilling competition.