Relations between French President Emmanuel Macron and former Prime Minister Gabriel Attal have become increasingly strained, particularly following the recent formation of François Bayrou’s government. The cabinet announcement sparked significant discontent among Attal’s supporters as none of the former Prime Minister's close allies were appointed, leading many to label the new government as "anti-Attal." This sentiment reflects the growing rift between the two political figures.
Gabriel Attal, who stepped down from his role as Prime Minister on September 5 due to the dissolution of the Assembly initiated by Macron, has faced notable obstacles since transferring his title to Michel Barnier, and later to François Bayrou. According to reports from Le Parisien, the absence of Attal’s allies from the new government is perceived as blatant disregard for his influence. Several prominent politicians who were once appointed by Attal, such as Guillaume Kasbarian, Anne Genetet, and Antoine Armand, were left out of Bayrou’s cabinet, adding to the discord.
A source quoted by Le Parisien revealed the sharpness of the rift, with François Bayrou allegedly communicating to Attal, "I am very embarrassed because the president has crossed off all the names you supported." This assertion was quickly countered by the Élysée, stating, "The president hasn’t crossed off anyone, make it clear." Despite this denial, the impressions linger of intentional exclusion.
The political repercussions are multifaceted. Attal’s supporters feel their exclusion signals not just personal setbacks for him, but broader political machinations intended to curb his rising prominence within the political hierarchy. "This is basically the continuation of the fight for power," noted one observer, echoing the sentiment among many within the ranks of Macron’s supporters.
Adding dimensions to the conflict, some speculate whether Macron’s decisions are also informed by Attal’s past criticisms of Barnier, perceived as undercutting Bayrou’s leadership. These include tensions reflected during previous assemblies where Attal distanced himself from proposed budgets put forth by the current government.
Some critics hypothesize this fallout reveals Macron’s need to reaffirm his authority. An unnamed source expressed, "This is not personal; it’s merely a reminder of who is in charge." The recent cabinet reshuffle included the return of figures like Élisabeth Borne and Gérald Darmanin, who are seen as key assets capable of supporting Bayrou, presenting themselves as rivals to Attal instead.
The dynamics within the French political sphere seem influenced not only by personal relations but by larger strategic ambitions. Observers note the emboldened competition between Attal and other seasoned politicians, including Édouard Philippe, as both aspire for presidential roles come 2027. The tension between Attal and Macron, which has been brewing since September, shows no signs of easing.
Interestingly, it appears these conflicts may fortuitously benefit their rival, Édouard Philippe. Some members within Macron’s circle have noted how Philippe is thriving amid heightened tensions between the other two. Philippe himself expressed no grievances with Attal, stating during an interview in February, "Everything’s perfectly fine between us, and I am willing to support him if needed." This portrays Philippe as the unifying factor among divided factions.
The political intrigue begs questions about future ramifications for Macron, Attal, and by extension, the broader political establishment as 2027 looms. Will Macron succeed in reestablishing unity within his party, or is the rift with Attal too significant to mend? Observers agree—this development could recalibrate political alliances and loyalties as parties prepare for looming elections.
While Macron's camp attempts to navigate these turbulent waters, they face the dual challenge of maintaining support among the deputies within the Assembly and countering growing animosities. It’s uncertain how these dynamics will settle, but many anticipate potential political realignments as aspirations for national leadership intensify.
Given the stakes, it will be imperative for all involved to either find common ground or risk fracture within the ruling coalition. The predictions for the future of the relationship between Macron and Attal remain ambiguous, yet intriguing as the next presidential election approaches.
