In a notable matchup in the NCAA Tournament's Midwest Region, the Kentucky Wildcats will meet the Illinois Fighting Illini on Sunday, March 23, 2025. This historic game marks the first time these two storied programs have clashed since 1983, creating palpable anticipation among both fan bases.
The game is scheduled to tip-off at 5:15 p.m. ET at Fiserv Forum in Milwaukee, Wisconsin, and excitement is running high as the Illini come in as a slight favorite, laying 1.5 points. For those looking for some action, Illinois is also favored on the moneyline at -130.
Coming off a solid performance, Illinois defeated the No. 11 Xavier Musketeers 86-73 in the first round, showcasing their formidable offense. Players Will Riley and Tomislav Ivišić each contributed significantly to that victory, scoring 20 points apiece, while guard Kylan Boswell added 15 points and five rebounds. The Illini have proven to be a potent team lately, winning five of their last six games. This success has analysts and fans alike giving Illinois an edge going into this contest.
Kentucky, on the other hand, will rely on Otega Oweh, who has recently hit his stride, scoring 20-plus points in seven of his last ten games. The Wildcats struggled slightly in their previous match against Alabama, where Oweh scored only eight points, leading to some questions regarding their consistency. Nevertheless, with an offense that boasts six players averaging double-digit points, Kentucky’s attack is well-balanced and capable of explosive scoring.
On the offensive front, both teams rank among the nation’s elite. Kentucky is 12th in adjusted offensive efficiency, while Illinois is ranked 13th, indicating a potential shootout on the hardwood. The Wildcats, known for their fast pace, currently sit 22nd overall in tempo, while Illinois outruns them slightly with a 17th ranking in adjusted tempo, promising an exciting and dynamic matchup.
The shooting styles of both teams vary, with Kentucky shooting 37.4% from beyond the arc, ranking them 23rd in three-point percentage nationally. Conversely, Illinois relies on more three-point shot attempts, ranked 30th in three-point rate but struggling with a 31.4% shooting percentage from that range. The variance in shooting styles might well be a deciding factor in the game.
As for the predicted outcome, estimates contest a close game, with many analysts suggesting Illinois is likely to edge out Kentucky. Consensus scores estimate Illinois to win narrowly, such as 84.9 to 84.4 or even as closely as some projections suggesting a final score of 83-82 in favor of the Illini.
This matchup is packed with intriguing storylines, including the involvement of Illinois assistant coach Orlando Antigua, a former member of Kentucky's coaching staff under John Calipari. This connection adds an extra layer of intrigue, as Antigua knows the Wildcats' programs inside and out.
Illinois' journey has been a commanding one throughout this NCAA Tournament. This matchup is crucial for both teams, as advancing to the Sweet 16 is on the line. Will Kentucky's offensive prowess and depth overcome Illinois’ recent hot streak?
Authentic excitement surrounds this NCAA Tournament meeting. Both programs have rich histories and passionate fan bases, making the stakes of this game feel even higher. As fans gather and strategies unfold, all eyes will be on how these two teams will fight for a place in the next round of March Madness.
Expect plenty of drama and scoring, as both teams meet with shared aspirations of advancing further in the tournament, only time will tell how this one will unfold on Sunday evening.
