The end of Kashmir's 40-day winter period, Chillai Kalan, brought with it unusual weather patterns, as the region witnessed significantly drier conditions this year.
Beginning on December 21, Chillai Kalan is typically known for its severe cold and heavy snowfall. This year, the season concluded on January 31, 2025, with largely dry and sunny conditions prevailing until the final hours. Evening clouds hinted at possible precipitation, raising hopes among locals and meteorologists who had been monitoring the extremely mild winter.
The vocal spokesperson of the Meteorological Department, Dr. Mukhtar Ahmad, indicated the region was on track for light snow and rain, especially from February 1 onward, when the milder winter period, Chillai Khurd, officially commenced. "There is no forecast of any major weather activity till February 5. Light snow is possible from tomorrow," Ahmad stated, lending some anticipation to the expected changes.
This winter was particularly concerning, as it saw Jammu and Kashmir grappling with significant rainfall deficits. Over the course of Chillai Kalan, the region observed just 11.5 mm of precipitation, which translates to a staggering 87 percent deficit compared to the normal 88.2 mm. Farmers expressed alarm at this lack of snow, as adequate winter precipitation is pivotal for agricultural water reserves and upcoming harvesting seasons.
While temperatures dipped remarkably low—Srinagar registered its coldest temperature at minus 8.5 degrees Celsius on the first day of Chillai Kalan, breaking records from fifty years ago—the expected heavy snowfall was conspicuously absent. Only two brief spells of snow were recorded, and the majority of the chill season remained dry.
High-altitude destinations such as Gulmarg and Pahalgam did receive some snowfall, contributing to the winter wonderland effect for tourists and winter sports enthusiasts. Fresh accumulations were reported shortly before the conclusion of Chillai Kalan, with Gulmarg receiving 2.5 cm of snow and Pahalgam seeing 2.7 cm. This limited winter precipitation, combined with uneventful stretches of clear weather, had many locals worried about the impacts of such anomalies.
Tourists and locals alike have been advised by the Meteorological Department to stay updated with travel advisories, as weather forecasts predict more engaging conditions starting February 4. Experts highlight it could be the turning point for winter activities and agricultural preparations, with hopes firmly placed on the impending weather patterns.
With Chillai Khurd underway, colder weather is expected—but not to the extent previously observed during Chillai Kalan. Residents are hopeful this transitional period will bridge them to the more temperate Chillai Bachha, following Chillai Khurd's 20 days of milder winter.
Despite the challenges faced during this winter season, the anticipation of snow activities in popular areas like Gulmarg and Sonamarg remains buoyant among tourists. With winter sports enthusiasts eager for snow and locals wishing for beneficial precipitation for agriculture, the coming days will be watched closely.
Overall, the unusually dry Chillai Kalan sheds light on the unpredictable nature of Kashmir's climate this season, marking significant shifts residents must adapt to. With weather patterns continuing to evolve, one can't help but ponder what will come next for the valley as it navigates through its winter transitions.