As the weather transitions into late March, residents across Italy can expect a significant shift in climate patterns over the coming week. For many, that means saying goodbye to the cold spells that have marked the earlier part of the month.
Until Wednesday, March 26, 2025, the weather is expected to remain variable but not cold, with temperatures showing an upward trend. Starting from Thursday, March 27, forecasters predict much more stable weather, ushering in a notable warming that will elevate temperatures by at least 4 to 5 degrees Celsius above the current values. This change suggests that for the first time this year, temperatures could peak around 20 degrees Celsius in the plains.
Weekends are generally sought after for outdoor activities, and this upcoming one promises ample sunshine and favorable temperatures, particularly as the Azores High approaches, bringing milder currents and better stability during afternoon hours. The anticipated weather appears to be a breath of relief for those longing for warmer, spring-like conditions.
For the central regions, including Tuscany, the week kicks off with some showers expected on Monday, March 24. These early-week showers will primarily impact the central part of the region during the first afternoon. Moreover, there’s a chance for thunderstorms to develop, especially by the midweek point.
As reported, “the thunderstorms seem more likely on Tuesday and Wednesday,” with instability growing. Monday will witness increasing cloud cover alongside scattered showers; as the week progresses, the likelihood of significant rainfall diminishes during the latter part of the week.
In particular, the Monday afternoon showers are likely to affect the internal central-southern areas of Tuscany more intensely. Monday evening will also see cloud cover, but there’s potential for partial openings in the skies by late afternoon leading into night.
Thermally, Monday will align comfortably with seasonal averages but demonstrate a gradual increase in temperatures. Overnight into Monday, some rain is expected, with initial heavier showers originating from the northern provinces of Massa Carrara and Lucca.
Meanwhile, from Wednesday through Sunday of the coming week, preparations are set to be made for the transition to warmer weather across many parts of Italy, with a gradual build-up of temperatures that will serve as a reminder that spring is well on its way.
The entirety of the month has pointed toward a warmer trend, even with the recent cold snap. The average temperature for March is expected to finish at least one degree higher than the historical average, suggesting a productive yet balmy month.
March's record includes days of unprecedented warmth. A prime example from the past is in 2008, when March 2 saw temperatures soar to a staggering 27.1 degrees Celsius. Similarly, in 2012, temperatures reached 27 degrees during the latter half of the month. Data collected over the last two decades demonstrates that temperatures exceeding 20 degrees in March have not been uncommon.
In summary, while the initial days of this week might call for some rain and clouds, the outlook is favorable for sunny days ahead, starting Thursday and through the weekend, with stable and warmer conditions settling over Italy.
