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01 March 2025

Israel Weighs 42-Day Ceasefire Extension Amid Ongoing Negotiations

Hamas demands transition to permanent ceasefire as deadline looms.

Israel is currently considering extending the ceasefire agreement with Hamas, known as "Phase 1," for another 42 days. The deadline for this initial phase is rapidly approaching, set for March 1, 2025. Sources from Egyptian authorities reported on February 28, 2025, on the negotiations taking place in Cairo, where discussions have shifted from transitioning to Phase 2 to simply extending this initial agreement.

The ceasefire, which began on January 19, 2025, has provided some relief to the people of Gaza amid the prolonged conflict. It was originally structured to include three phases; the first lasting 42 days, and the future phases were intended to expand on the terms of the agreement. Hamas, the de facto governing authority of Gaza, has urged for the immediate transition to Phase 2, which would entail permanent ceasefire measures.

Israeli officials, meanwhile, seem to prefer extending the current ceasefire rather than progressing to the next phase. "Israel is considering extending the ceasefire 'Phase 1' by 42 days," reported by Reuters on February 28, highlighting the Israeli government’s tactical shift. Such discussions follow criticisms surrounding the stability of the current ceasefire and claims of violations from both sides.

The negotiations are reportedly being facilitated by Egypt, with significant input from the United States and Qatar. These discussions have been characterized as intensive, with representatives from Israel returning to their country briefly before resuming meetings on March 1.

Under the proposed extension, Israel might release some Palestinian detainees, hoping for reciprocation from Hamas, which might include the release of three hostages each week. The tension surrounding these negotiations is palpable, with both sides accusing each other of failing to adhere to the terms laid out in the ceasefire agreement. Hamas has openly stated its dissatisfaction with any moves perceived as violations, calling on the international community to pressure Israel to comply with the agreement.

On March 1, the situation will continue to evolve as the negotiations progress. The ceasefire’s future remains contingent upon continued dialogue among involved parties, and the nuances of the agreement signify larger questions about peace and conflict resolution in the region. The level of mistrust between Israel and Hamas complicates any efforts to transition smoothly from one phase to another, with both sides eyeing each other warily.

Israel's media has suggested potential military movements, noting there may be hesitations about withdrawing from strategic areas near the border after the immediate deadline approaches. Reports indicate Israeli military forces were expected to begin withdrawing from the Philae Corridor along the border with Gaza, but conflicting reports suggest this might not happen as planned.

Meanwhile, the Palestinian Authority's representatives, including Foreign Affairs Minister Barsten Agabekian, have expressed their desire for the negotiations to proceed according to the initial plan, advocating for immediate movement to the next phase.

It remains to be seen whether this extension will yield any fruitful results or if negotiations will falter as has happened before. With all eyes on Cairo and the key players involved, the stakes for both sides are high, making the outcome of these conversations critically important not just for peace, but for the future of the region.