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03 June 2024

Is Biden's Ceasefire Plan for Gaza the Answer to Ending the Conflict?

President Joe Biden's three-phase proposal seeks to halt the Israel-Hamas conflict, but faces opposition from key Israeli ministers.

President Joe Biden has introduced a three-phase plan aimed at ending the intense conflict between Israel and Hamas, but it faces significant hurdles due to opposition from key Israeli ministers and complicated political dynamics. The proposal, unveiled by Biden during a speech at the White House, is designed to establish a comprehensive ceasefire, facilitate the release of hostages, and initiate a robust reconstruction effort in Gaza.

At the heart of Biden’s plan is a six-week ceasefire that would require an immediate cessation of hostilities, the withdrawal of Israeli forces from all populated areas in Gaza, and a concurrent release of both Israeli hostages and Palestinian prisoners. The first phase is structured to ensure the delivery of humanitarian aid during the truce, with 600 trucks carrying essential supplies into Gaza daily. The U.S., Egypt, and Qatar would work together to guarantee that all agreements are honored.

The second phase of the plan involves a complete withdrawal of Israeli forces from Gaza in exchange for the release of all remaining living hostages, including male soldiers. This step hinges on the readiness of Hamas to adhere to the initial terms and would pave the way toward a potential permanent cessation of hostilities.

In its final stage, the plan focuses on the reconstruction of Gaza, including the rebuilding of homes, schools, and hospitals. This ambitious reconstruction effort would involve the support of Arab nations and the international community, ensuring that Hamas does not rearm.

The plan, however, is not without its detractors. Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu has indicated that Israel will not agree to a ceasefire until Hamas’s military and governing capabilities are thoroughly dismantled. Finance Minister Bezalel Smotrich and National Security Minister Itamar Ben-Gvir, prominent figures in Netanyahu’s government, have threatened to resign and collapse the coalition if the ceasefire proposal is accepted. They demand that the war continue until Hamas is destroyed and all hostages are returned.

In a statement, Netanyahu emphasized that any truce would be aimed at achieving two main objectives: the elimination of Hamas and the return of Israeli hostages. These demands underscore the deep divisions within the Israeli government regarding the proposed ceasefire.

Biden’s speech highlighted the complexity of the Israeli political landscape, noting the internal pressures faced by Netanyahu from both far-right ministers and the families of Israeli hostages. Rachel Goldberg-Polin, whose son Hersh has been held in Gaza since October 7, expressed hope but remained cautious about the proposed deal. She urged the government to prioritize the return of hostages, despite the ongoing conflict.

U.S. Secretary of State Antony Blinken and other senior officials have been actively engaging with Israeli leaders to garner support for the plan. Blinken underscored that the proposal would advance Israel’s long-term security interests and that Hamas should accept it without delay.

Despite the plan’s backing from the U.S., Egypt, and Qatar, Netanyahu faces significant domestic opposition. Hanoch Milwidsky, a senior member of Netanyahu’s Likud Party, called the proposal “completely unacceptable” as it purportedly compromises Israel’s security by allowing Hamas to potentially regroup.

The division within Netanyahu’s coalition is not novel. Both Smotrich and Ben-Gvir have previously threatened to destabilize the government over ceasefire negotiations, reflecting a persistent pattern of internal discord each time Israel and Hamas approach a deal.

As the conflict in Gaza continues, the humanitarian toll has been dire. The United Nations Relief and Works Agency (UNRWA) reports that millions of Gaza residents are displaced, exacerbating the region’s humanitarian crisis. The need for a comprehensive and lasting solution has never been more pressing.

Meanwhile, negotiations remain delicate. The U.S. has urged both sides to respond swiftly, with White House National Security Council spokesman John Kirby stating that the administration hopes the initial phase of the plan will begin as soon as possible.

The broader implications of the ceasefire proposal extend beyond immediate peace. Should it succeed, it could lay the groundwork for a political settlement that promises a better future for both Israelis and Palestinians. However, persistent obstacles and the demand for absolute terms on both sides complicate the path forward.

Netanyahu’s government is caught between a rock and a hard place. On one side are hardline ministers who see the destruction of Hamas as a non-negotiable objective. On the other side are international and domestic pressures calling for immediate humanitarian relief and a diplomatic resolution.

The conflict, now approaching its ninth month since the catastrophic events of October 7, has seen unprecedented violence and loss of life. Hamas’s attack on Israeli civilians ignited a fierce military response, resulting in a staggering death toll and the displacement of millions in Gaza.

The need for peace is palpable, but achieving it requires navigating a labyrinth of political, military, and humanitarian challenges. Biden’s proposal, though ambitious and comprehensive, is just one part of a complex puzzle that world leaders must piece together.

Future developments will hinge on the responses from both Israel and Hamas, and the degree to which international mediators can influence the course of negotiations. The potential for a lasting ceasefire and subsequent reconstruction in Gaza depends on delicate diplomacy and the willingness of all parties to make significant compromises.

For now, the world watches as one of the most entrenched conflicts of our time teeters on the edge of a possible resolution, driven by a bold yet contentious vision presented by the U.S. president.

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