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14 November 2024

Investors Pour Into US Stocks After Trump Win

Recent survey reveals significant optimism for US equities as small-cap stocks gain traction

With the aftermath of Donald Trump's recent election win, the U.S. stock market has been buzzing with activity. Stocks have rallied significantly, pushing investor sentiment to increase their equity exposure to levels not seen since 2012. This bullish movement has caught the eye of strategists and analysts, particularly those at Bank of America (BofA), who have conducted surveys pointing to expectations of sustained growth for U.S. equities.

According to the BofA fund manager survey, there's optimism driving this stock surge, fueled by anticipated pro-business policies under Trump's administration. A notable 28% of participating investors now expect the U.S. economy to grow at a stronger pace this coming year, contrasting sharply with just 22% who expected weaker growth last month.

Michael Hartnett, the chief investment strategist at BofA, reported witnessing what he described as a marked surge of bullish sentiment among fund managers. This exciting pivot signals confidence not just for U.S. stocks, but also suggests promising prospects for global equities and even gold.

Interestingly, many investors are placing their bets on smaller stocks. The Russell 2000 index, which comprises smaller companies, has emerged as the star performer according to survey insights, largely because these stocks might sidestep potential risks associated with Trump's foreign trade policies, particularly fears around tariffs on imports.

Since Election Day, small-cap stocks have made headlines with the Russell 2000 index soaring almost 6%. This increase reflects not just optimism among investors, but also the attractive positioning of smaller U.S. firms which rely less on international revenue streams. The thinking goes: they’ll be less vulnerable to any adverse effects from tariff proposals.

The stock rally has been electric, extending its momentum well past Election Day. Investors are hoping the incoming administration's policies, such as corporate tax cuts and deregulation, will provide the underpinnings needed to boost earnings across the board.

That optimism has sparked massive inflows of capital directed at so-called “Trump trades,” which include not only stocks like Tesla but also cryptocurrencies like Bitcoin. Analysts believe these stocks will find themselves benefiting from the anticipated business-friendly stance of the administration.

The surge is also reflected within major indices, such as the S&P 500 and the Dow Jones Industrial Average, both of which have reached record highs since the election results were announced. This strong market reaction signifies the deep-seated hope among investors for policies encouraging growth and profitability.

Real-time data shows this positive trend is not just limited to equities. The broader market response includes commodities and other asset classes as they attempt to assess and adapt to the rapidly shifting economic environment.

Despite various uncertainties surrounding policy implementations, analysts remain optimistic. The majority of fund managers surveyed continue to believe the U.S. is set to lead the pack, branding equities as the best investment of 2025. The feeling is infectious, as many investors gear up for what could be one of the strongest bull runs seen in years.

It’s clear the excitement following the election hasn’t just sparked short-term speculative trading; instead, it suggests investors are shifting their portfolios and strategic thinking toward growth, bolstered by expectation rather than fear. Clearly, these are interesting times for the U.S. stock market as it potentially gears up for its next chapter.

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