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11 May 2025

Intact Financial Reports Strong Q1 Earnings Amid Stock Surge

Despite mixed results, analysts remain optimistic about Intact Financial's future growth potential.

Intact Financial Corporation, a leading property and casualty insurance provider in Canada, has recently been in the spotlight following a series of significant developments, including a strong earnings report and a surge in stock price.

On May 6, 2025, Intact Financial announced its Q1 earnings, revealing an earnings per share (EPS) of $3.06, which exceeded analyst expectations by $0.51. However, the company's revenue of $4.03 billion fell short of projections by $25.98 million, reflecting a year-over-year growth of 6.60%. This mixed earnings report has sparked discussions among investors and analysts regarding the company's future performance.

Following the earnings announcement, the stock price of Intact Financial reached a new 52-week high on May 5, 2025, trading as high as C$307.23 before closing at C$307.00, with a trading volume of 39,326 shares. This increase is notable, as the stock had previously closed at C$305.47.

Analysts have been actively revising their price targets for Intact Financial in light of these developments. TD Securities recently raised their price target from C$328.00 to C$349.00, maintaining a 'buy' rating. CIBC also lifted their target from C$290.00 to C$300.00. Conversely, Cibc World Markets downgraded their rating from 'strong buy' to 'hold' earlier in the year. Jefferies Financial Group increased their price objective from C$201.00 to C$289.00, while Desjardins boosted their target from C$320.00 to C$330.00, also issuing a 'buy' rating.

As of now, Intact Financial holds an average rating of 'Moderate Buy' among analysts, with a consensus target price of C$310.90. The company's 50-day moving average stands at C$290.20, while the 200-day moving average is C$275.42. This indicates a positive trend for the stock, which has a market capitalization of C$53.02 billion and a price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of 23.08.

In terms of insider trading, Senior Officer Benoit Morissette sold 6,000 shares of Intact Financial on February 13, 2025, at an average price of C$287.12, amounting to a total transaction value of approximately C$1.72 million. Corporate insiders currently own 0.24% of the company's stock, which is relatively low.

Looking ahead, investors are keenly observing the trading plans for Intact Financial. A recent analysis suggests buying near C$292.64, with a target of C$306.55 and a stop loss set at C$291.18. Alternatively, short positions are advised near C$306.55, targeting C$292.64 with a stop loss at C$308.08. These plans reflect the cautious optimism surrounding the stock's performance in the coming weeks.

Despite the mixed signals from the earnings report, analysts remain optimistic about Intact Financial's long-term potential. The company's strong position in the Canadian insurance market, coupled with a solid track record of performance, suggests that it could weather economic fluctuations better than many of its peers.

In summary, Intact Financial Corporation is navigating a complex landscape of investor expectations and market dynamics. With a strong earnings report, a rising stock price, and varied analyst ratings, the company is poised for growth, but investors should remain vigilant as they assess the implications of these developments.