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25 February 2025

Indian Stock Market Shows Gains Amidst Global Uncertainties

Despite mixed performance, domestic investors remain active as foreign selling escalates, highlighting market volatility.

The Indian stock market has shown significant movement as of February 25, 2025, with the BSE Sensex climbing 312.17 points, or 0.42%, to close at 74,766.58. The Nifty50 also registered gains, edging up by 48.45 points, or 0.21%, settling at 22,601.80. This marked progress came amid broader concerns as Asian markets slipped, reflecting caution among investors following negative indicators from U.S. markets.

Investor sentiment was particularly affected by remarks from U.S. President Donald Trump, who confirmed the implementation of tariffs on imports from Canada and Mexico, stating they are "on time and on schedule," alongside his decision to restrict Chinese investments across various strategic sectors. This environment raised worries of retaliatory actions affecting global trade.

The market's strong performance today came against the backdrop of volatility marked by significant Foreign Institutional Investor (FII) selling, which amounted to approximately Rs 43,200 crores just this month alone. Nevertheless, Domestic Institutional Investors (DIIs) provided some relief by purchasing equities worth Rs 5,185 crores, indicating potential strength and commitment to the Indian market.

Market experts have weighed in on the sentiment. Dr. V K Vijayakumar, Chief Investment Strategist at Geojit Financial Services, emphasized, "The market is oversold, largecap valuations are fair and short positions... warrants a bounce back especially if short covering happens." He added, though, the uncertainty from the U.S. tariffs would continue casting shadows over the market's recovery.

Similarly, Prashanth Tapse, Senior VP of Research at Mehta Equities, stated, "While the street fears stagflation could be returning... raises concern about how long domestic inflows will continue to offset overseas investor selling.” This highlights apprehensions among analysts about the sustainability of domestic buying against the wave of foreign sell-offs.

Global market trends mirrored similar caution. The MSCI Asia ex-Japan index fell by 1.3% as concerns over U.S. investment policies weighed heavily on investor confidence, with Japan's Nikkei experiencing its return from a public holiday with losses, extending the sell-off spurred by uncertain international trade relations. U.S. futures also exhibited flat movements, signaling uncertain expectations for the week.

On the commodity side, oil prices have seen recent upticks. Brent crude futures rose by 0.51% to $75.16 per barrel, influenced by new U.S. sanctions on Iran, which have added additional concerns over supply disruptions. This provided some fluctuations for investors closely tracking these commodities.

While the Nifty Bank, Auto, Financial Services, and Media sectors rallied upwards today, logging increases up to 0.6%, the technology sector reflected declines with the Nifty IT index slipping 0.72% as fears of external pressures mounted. Analysts predict continued volatility within this sector, heavily weighted down by broader economic signals.

Despite the mixed performance today, retail stocks such as Mahindra & Mahindra and Bharti Airtel rose significantly, bolstered by investor interest and strategic partnerships—Bharti Airtel’s stock gained traction after it announced plans to collaborate with Ericsson on advancing 5G Core technology.

Conclusively, 2025 is shaping up to be filled with migrating trends and volatile sentiments. While foreign selling may persist and economic indicators dictate market trajectories, experts suggest continuing focus on quality stocks, portraying patience as key to weathering the current tumultuous climate. Keeping track of upcoming economic developments and global policies will be pivotal for investors seeking to navigate through the uncertainties of the market.