The Institute of Meteorology and Water Management (IMGW) has released its long-term experimental weather forecast for spring and early summer 2025, predicting significant temperature and precipitation shifts across Poland.
According to the report, March is expected to see above-average temperatures compared to historical norms from 1991 to 2020. Specifically, IMGW has indicated, “The average temperature will exceed the values recorded between 1991-2020.” Unlike recent years, most regions should experience precipitation levels close to these norms, though southeastern areas of the country may face drier conditions.
Moving on to April, predictions suggest the warmth will persist. The forecast implies not only higher temperatures but also heavier rainfall, with the month shaping up to be wetter than traditional averages. IMGW noted, “The month [April] will be rainy not only on Easter Monday,” forecasting significant rainfall across the country.
May is similarly expected to continue the trend of warmer weather, with average temperatures projected to rise above historical norms. While rainfall amounts should remain around average, IMGW has confirmed, “May will also be warmer than usual,” indicating many regions might experience days exceeding 20 degrees Celsius.
June appears to be more stable, with predictions stating the month should align closely with the average weather patterns. IMGW's forecasts highlight this month will “not deviate from the norm,” meaning significant weather extremes are unlikely.
This long-term forecast serves as part of IMGW’s effort to provide clarity on the expected conditions as spring arrives. For years, meteorologists have utilized historical data to project future weather, offering definitions such as “above normal” for months expected to have higher temperatures or rainfall than at least 20 previous observations over the defined period. It helps prepare both individuals and communities for the changing climate.
While the predictions are valuable for individual planning and preparation, IMGW reminds the public this experimental forecast is subject to change. They continue to monitor and adjust their expectations as new weather patterns emerge.
The mention of warmer springs aligns with recent climatic trends seen across Europe and could impact various sectors such as agriculture, tourism, and public health as warmer temperatures become more prevalent.
For anyone wondering about the long-term weather outlook, IMGW has underscored the importance of staying informed about weather patterns and preparing accordingly. Weather enthusiasts, farmers, and everyday citizens are encouraged to keep abreast of updates as spring 2025 brings its unique challenges and opportunities.