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17 August 2024

Hurricane Ernesto Intensifies As It Approaches Bermuda

Officials prepare shelters and close offices as storm forecast increases wind and rain expectations

Hurricane Ernesto Intensifies As It Approaches Bermuda

Hurricane Ernesto has strengthened to become a Category 2 storm, charging toward Bermuda with wind gusts reaching up to 100 miles per hour. Officials on the island are preparing for the storm's impact by opening shelters and closing government offices as it approaches.

At present, Ernesto is about 215 miles south-southwest of Bermuda and is moving north-northeast at 14 mph. With this rapid approach, local authorities are bracing for significant weather conditions as early as Saturday morning.

This storm previously battered Puerto Rico, where it knocked out power to approximately half of the island's 2 million residents and caused flash floods. Rainfall of five to ten inches inundated much of the region, significantly impacting daily life.

Satellite imagery indicates Ernesto is a large storm, and its tropical storm-force winds extend 275 miles from its center. With hurricane-force winds reaching out 75 miles, the storm presents dangerous swimming conditions along the Atlantic coastline.

Given the size and intensity of the storm, rip currents have been forecasted for beaches extending from the southern U.S. to Canada over the weekend. Beachgoers are advised to swim only at locations with lifeguard presence as conditions are expected to remain treacherous.

The storm has been characterized by moderate wind shear caused by upper-level winds, and forecasts suggest Ernesto may weaken slightly as it nears Bermuda. The National Hurricane Center warns of potential weakening; still, substantial impacts from gusty winds and rain are anticipated.

Current projections place Ernesto making landfall on Bermuda as it nears record-warm sea temperatures of about 84 degrees Fahrenheit. To put it simply, these warm waters can intensify storms, though the accompanying wind shear may mitigate some of their strength.

Conversely, the island’s famed resilience is noteworthy; Bermuda sees Category 2 storms about once every decade. The last time such strength impacted the island was during Hurricane Paulette, which occurred back in September 2020.

Reports indicate Ernesto's central pressure at 970 mb shows just how powerful it has become. Wind forecasts suggest sustained winds between 74 miles per hour, indicating residents should remain vigilant and prepared as the storm approaches.

Anticipated weather conditions include significant rainfall, with predictions estimating eight to twelve inches, and storm surge causing waves to rise between five to nine feet inside the reef. Outside the reef, waves could reach up to 25 to 35 feet—a formidable sight for those familiar with Bermuda's usually calm waters.

Bermuda’s preparedness for hurricanes stems from its history; the island is regarded as one of the most hurricane-hardened places within the Atlantic region. Despite the recent threats, it’s remarkable to note the lack of hurricane-related fatalities reported over the past two decades, highlighting the effectiveness of their emergency response.

Moving forward, Ernesto won’t remain solely focused on Bermuda. A trough of low pressure is expected to redirect the storm, with predictions indicating it may pass near Newfoundland, Canada, by Monday.

Eventually, ex-Ernesto should transition to become an extratropical storm, bringing heavy rainfall and wind across Western Europe later next week. This aspect of tropical storms remains particularly interesting as it demonstrates their far-reaching effects beyond their point of origin.

Residents of Bermuda and surrounding areas are advised to stay updated with the latest forecasts and emergency instructions as the storm approaches. Preparation is critical, and access to information is key for maintaining safety during unpredictable weather events.

Overall, Hurricane Ernesto presents significant challenges as it races toward Bermuda, yet the island's long-standing hurricane protocols may help mitigate potential damage. Residents are encouraged to heed warnings and take necessary precautions.

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