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21 February 2025

Hims & Hers Health Faces Stock Volatility Amid FDA Developments

The telehealth company's shares soared then tumbled due to regulatory changes affecting key drug supplies.

Hims & Hers Health (NYSE:HIMS) has become the center of attention after experiencing dramatic stock volatility, leading to notable price moves—including a staggering 162% increase over the past quarter. This surge occurs against the backdrop of broader market declines affecting major indexes like the Dow Jones and S&P 500, which experienced relative stagnation.

While many companies faced challenges, including UnitedHealth with its Department of Justice investigation, Hims & Hers managed to outperform even thriving industries, such as the travel sector represented by Booking Holdings. Tech giants like Nvidia and Microsoft saw their stocks retract, yet Hims & Hers captured investor interest due to its innovative healthcare solutions and substantial growth prospects.

Notably, Hims & Hers reported impressive financial results, including an annual revenue increase of more than 80% over the last three years. The company turned around its previous losses, showcasing profitability with net income reported at $75.59 million as of November 2024 from earlier downturns, marking significant market traction.

After raising its revenue guidance for 2024 to between $1.46 billion and $1.465 billion, Hims & Hers demonstrated confidence as it underwent expansion with additional product offerings. These new initiatives—including personalized weight loss programs and GLP-1 injections—positioned the company favorably against competitors amid soaring demands.

The excitement surrounding the company took another turn, following reports from the Food and Drug Administration (FDA) about the resolution of ingredient shortages for popular obesity drugs like Wegovy and Ozempic. Hims & Hers, which produces compounded versions of these treatments, witnessed its stock tumble more than 23% after the FDA’s announcement confirmed the resumption of supply for these key active ingredients.

CEO Andrew Dudum expressed commitment to monitoring future supply conditions, asserting, "Hims & Hers will continue to offer access to personalized treatments as allowed by law." This forward-looking sentiment is instrumental as the company navigates through stock-market turbulence and competitive pressures.

On the surface, Hims & Hers appears attractive to investors, especially considering its recent acquisition of Trybe Labs, which will incorporate at-home testing services to create more customized healthcare. Despite this appealing prospect, concerns about stock volatility linger. The company currently holds what analysts describe as extremely high valuations compared to the S&P 500 average, making any investment decision inherently risky.

For reference, Hims & Hers has reported price-to-sales (P/S) and price-to-earnings (P/E) ratios significantly above those of the broader index—6.5 P/S compared to 3.1, and 43.3 P/E against the benchmark’s 24.4. Such discrepancies indicate potential oversaturation for investors considering entry points at current levels.

Financial assessments reveal mixed results for the company, as operational profit margins lag behind many competitors, reflecting broader pressures within the healthcare sector. The last four quarters showed Hims & Hers with operational income of $43 million, approximately translating to operating margins of only 3.5%, significantly lower than the prevailing industry averages.

Encouragingly, the company's balance sheet appears strong, with only $11 million of debt against substantial market capitalization estimates nearing $14 billion. Cash reserves represent over 42% of total assets, showcasing financial stability, but the company's consumer sentiment and performance during downturns may prove pivotal for its longevity.

The stock's historical performance during crises, such as the COVID-19 recession, indicates some resilience; Hims & Hers declined only 7.4% from its peak during those tumultuous times, outshining overall market dips. Still, as investors weigh potential opportunities against apparent risks, the question remains about which direction Hims & Hers Health will take next.

While the surge and subsequent dips may provide tantalizing trading opportunities, they could also signify underlying market volatility. Investors must tread carefully, armed with knowledge and insights about current trends, future supply dynamics, and company innovations as Hims & Hers Health remains on their radar.