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22 March 2025

Gold Prices Fall Amid USD Strength And Geopolitical Tensions

Investors concerned over upcoming tariffs and rising global conflicts impact gold market dynamics.

Gold prices experienced a noticeable decline in the United Arab Emirates on March 21, 2025, according to data compiled by FXStreet. The price for gold was reported at 357.92 United Arab Emirates Dirhams (AED) per gram, a drop from AED 359.54 just a day earlier. Additionally, the price for one tola fell to AED 4,174.62 from AED 4,193.62, reflecting a broader trend impacting the market.

This decline in gold prices comes as the US Dollar has attracted buyers for the third consecutive day, contributing to downward pressure on gold during the Asian trading session. Investors are also keeping a close watch on global events, particularly the threatened tariffs by US President Donald Trump that are set to take effect on April 2. These tariffs add to the existing 25% duty on steel and aluminum implemented in February.

Additionally, geopolitical tensions are on the rise, particularly between Russia and Ukraine, as both nations have intensified aerial attacks amid ongoing truce talks. On March 20, Ukraine targeted Russia’s Engels airbase in the Saratov region with attack drones, leading to fires and explosions. At the same time, reports indicated that Russia launched 171 drones into Ukrainian territory. These developments underscore the precarious state of international relations, which invariably influences financial markets.

The Federal Reserve also plays a pivotal role in shaping the economic landscape. Recent indications suggest that the central bank is contemplating two 25 basis points rate cuts by the end of this year, which could further affect gold prices as investors adapt their strategies. According to Fed Chair Jerome Powell, "Tariffs are likely to dampen economic growth," emphasizing the intricate link between trade policies and financial markets.

The price fluctuations of gold, now seen at 357.92 AED per gram, could also reflect its status as a safe haven asset. Gold is often viewed as a hedge against inflation and currency depreciation, making it attractive during times of economic uncertainty. Central banks, particularly from emerging economies such as China and India, have been rapidly increasing their gold reserves as a strategy to fortify their economic standing during turbulent times.

Interestingly, central banks added a notable 1,136 tonnes of gold, valued around $70 billion, to their reserves in 2022, marking the highest yearly purchase since records began. This trend suggests a renewed trust in gold as a stabilizing force amid fluctuating currencies and unpredictable markets.

Furthermore, gold's price is inversely related to that of the US Dollar and US Treasuries, which remain major reserve assets. As the Dollar depreciates, gold prices tend to rise, encouraging both investors and central banks to seek its stability. However, when the Dollar is strong and stock markets rally, gold prices often decline, showcasing the dynamic interplay of various economic factors.

The implications of these financial trends are significant. With potential rate cuts on the horizon, coupled with rising geopolitical tensions, investors are left to navigate a complex landscape. The Federal Reserve's pivot in policy to respond to weakening economic indicators could bolster gold's appeal as a non-yielding asset, especially in scenarios where borrowing costs decrease.

As market analysts continue to monitor the unfolding geopolitical scenes and the evolving stance of the US government on trade, gold's value remains susceptible to external pressures. Investors need to stay alert, adapting to changes as the market unfolds over the coming weeks.

In conclusion, the drop in gold prices on March 21, 2025, reflects a confluence of domestic and international factors influencing investor sentiment. The interplay of the US Dollar's strength, the impending tariffs from the Trump administration, and significant global tensions highlights the fragile nature of the current economic climate. For now, gold endures as a critical marker of stability amid the ongoing uncertainty.