Germany is on the brink of significant political change as the nation prepares for the federal elections scheduled for February 23, 2025. With more than 59 million eligible voters, the race continues to heat up, predominantly between Chancellor Olaf Scholz and Union party candidate Friedrich Merz. Both leaders are making their final appeals to sway undecided voters amid rising tensions and dramatic shifts predicted by recent polls.
The atmosphere is charged as the final days of campaigning kick off. At the CDU and CSU's closing rally held at Munich’s Löwenbräukeller, Merz exuded confidence, declaring, "There are only about 26 hours left. Then the traffic light coalition will be history in Germany." His words are meant not just to galvanize support but to solidify his position against the current coalition government, which includes Scholz's SPD.
Meanwhile, Scholz remains undeterred, asserting, "I do not believe in miracles; I believe in victory," during his rally in Potsdam. This sentiment is reflective of his campaign strategy—targeting voters who may still be on the fence. Recent surveys indicate about one-fifth of the electorate remains undecided, making these last-minute pushes all the more pivotal.
Scholz has emphasized the importance of dual votes for his party, passionately stating his belief in the SPD's chance for continued governance. Political analysts note how this election differs from others, especially considering the recent polling trends showing the CDU leading but potentially falling below the 30% mark necessary to form a stable government alone.
The political stage is tumultuous, with tensions brewing not only between the main parties but also with smaller factions like the AfD and the ramifications of coalition discussions. Merz has drawn rigid lines, making it explicit to the audience: "We will not talk to anyone who is not ready to change economic and immigration policies." Notably, his insistence on excluding the AfD from potential coalition discussions has ignited dialogue about the future political relationship dynamics within Germany.
Merz's rhetoric is not just aimed at securing immediate votes but also at gaining rightful acknowledgment within the party and its leadership hierarchy. The steady backing of Bavarian allies, like CSU leader Markus Söder, has added to Merz’s momentum. During the Munich event, Söder vocally supported Merz, stating, "The time is over" for coalition talks with smaller liberal parties—essentially reinforcing the CDU's ambitions for power.
Outside of these party rallies, the atmosphere is rife with protests against rising extremist sentiments. Demonstrations orchestrated by over 50 organizations against right-wing extremism saw thousands taking to the streets. For example, around 20,000 marchers were reported in Freiburg, exemplifying the public’s growing concern about the strengthening voices of the far-right factions as the election draws near.
These protests highlight the increasing divide within the electorate, which has also reflected on the campaign trails, where Merz's past comments have drawn criticism. SPD Chair Lars Klingbeil remarked, "Friedrich Merz is deepening the divides of our democratic society," underscoring how divisive tactics may impact the election’s outcome.
Finally, the logistical arrangements for the post-election scenario seem fraught with challenges. Traditionally, the formation of coalitions leads to extended negotiations; following the election, this could potentially stretch weeks or months. While the new Bundestag must convene by March 25, it remains opaque how or with whom Merz intends to govern if elected.
The final campaign period is more than just rallies and speeches; it is about positioning for the future. With the stakes this high, the clock is ticking down to what may become one of the most consequential elections for Germany's political future.