Germany and Italy face off today, March 23, 2025, at 16:45 (Brasília time) in the UEFA Nations League quarter-finals at the Signal Iduna Park in Dortmund. This pivotal match follows a gripping first leg in Milan, where Germany triumphed with a score of 2-1, leaving the Italians in a challenging position as they seek redemption.
The stakes are high: Germany needs only a draw to secure a place in the semi-finals, while Italy must win by at least two goals to advance outright. If Italy wins by just one goal, the match will proceed to penalties, adding further tension to an already electric atmosphere.
The historical rivalry between these two footballing giants has seen them battle on 38 occasions, with Italy claiming 15 victories, Germany 10, and 13 matches ending in a draw. This game not only continues their storied rivalry but also showcases their recent performances. Germany has been on an impressive streak, remaining unbeaten in their last eight matches, with four victories and two draws in this year’s Nations League group stage, finishing at the top of Group 3.
In contrast, Italy, while having a strong group stage showing with four wins, one draw, and a single loss, finds itself grappling with recent performances, including a painful defeat in the first leg. The fact that Italy has not defeated Germany in 13 years adds to the pressure they face. Their last meeting resulted in Germany overcoming an early goal by Sandro Tonali to secure victory, with efforts from Tim Kleindienst and Leon Goretzka turning the tide.
Both squads have shown remarkable offensive capabilities throughout the tournament. Germany has netted 20 goals at an average of 2.85 per game while only conceding five. Italy has a decent tally of 14 goals, averaging 2.0 per game but has conceded ten, underscoring defensive vulnerabilities that could be exploited by Germany’s aggressive play style. Germany’s coach, Julian Nagelsmann, is expected to field a 4-2-3-1 formation aimed at maintaining possession and high pressing, while Italy, under Luciano Spalletti, is likely to adopt a more defensive stance, possibly switching to a 3-5-2 formation to reinforce their backline.
As players prepare for what could be a decisive encounter, key figures like Germany’s Wirtz and Undav, both top scorers, will be crucial in determining the game's outcome. Italy looks to their star Frattesi, aiming to secure vital goals that may lead them to victory.
For viewers eager to catch the action, the match will be broadcast live on ESPN and via streaming on Disney+, ensuring fans don’t miss any of the excitement. Betting odds favor Germany notably, with odds sitting around 1.88 for a German win, reflecting both home advantage and their strong current form.
As the clock ticks down to kick-off, anticipation fills the air. This match is a remarkable chance for Italy to reclaim their pride against a historical rival, while Germany aims to continue their quest for an elusive title in the UEFA Nations League. Will the Azzurri break their winless streak, or will the German machine continue its impressive form?
