UFC 313 delivered one of the most anticipated co-main events featuring Justin Gaethje and Rafael Fiziev, who faced off on March 8, 2025, at the T-Mobile Arena in Las Vegas. The background for this clash dates back to their first encounter at UFC 286 where Gaethje emerged victorious by majority decision.
Initially scheduled to fight Dan Hooker, Gaethje, the No. 3 ranked lightweight, had to quickly adapt when Hooker pulled out due to injury, allowing the No. 11 ranked Fiziev to step up on short notice. This set the stage for what many expected to be another thrilling showdown between two of the division’s most exciting fighters.
Both fighters are known for their relentless styles and powerful strikes. Gaethje, often celebrated as one of the best strikers in UFC history, averages nearly seven significant strikes per minute and boasts impressive stats with landing rates of 59%. To give some perspective, even during his last loss to Max Holloway at UFC 300—where he suffered a brutal knockout—Gaethje managed to land over 100 strikes, showcasing his resilience and ability to engage fiercely on the feet.
Fiziev, stepping up on short notice, indicated his eagerness to face Gaethje when he accepted the UFC challenge to fill the vacancy left open by Hooker. "While UFC reportedly approached many of the 155 pound top echelon, none was more eager to answer the call on short notice than Fiziev," Sportkeeda reported, underscoring Fiziev's readiness to take on Gaethje.
This rematch became even more intriguing due to Gaethje's betting odds, where he was surprisingly listed as the +125 underdog against Fiziev’s -162. This struck many fans as odd considering Gaethje's prior success against Fiziev and his higher ranking.
Despite recent uncertainties surrounding Gaethje's performance following his knockout loss, his track record proved significantly valuable. The former interim lightweight champion was widely regarded as one of UFC’s most dangerous fighters, known for his ability to deliver explosive finishes and engaging performances.
When they met previously at UFC 286, their fight was nothing short of exhilarating, providing fans with non-stop action and thrilling exchanges. Both fighters exhibited their skillsets with Gaethje landing 103 significant strikes compared to Fiziev’s 97. Looking at these numbers and their styles, gaethje's chances of exceeding the 81.5 significant strike total suggested by DraftKings seemed reasonable.
"He is one of the best strikers in the history of the UFC’s lightweight division," touted many fans and analysts, reflecting upon Gaethje's capabilities. With only two of his last four victories being finishes, it was expected this bout might go the distance, lending itself to potential insight on betting propositions.
Fiziev, traditionally known for his kickboxing acumen, was still riding the effects of inactivity following his hiatus from the sport. Coming off two consecutive defeats, he had yet to find his footing again in the octagon, facing off against the likes of Rafael dos Anjos and Renato Moicano along the way. This provided ample motivation for him as he entered the octagon against Gaethje, ace fighter needing to make his comeback.
Round one proved to be intense, with Fiziev opening with leg kicks and attempting to establish control. Gaethje remained steadfast, landing notable jabs and right hands throughout the round. The commentary team noted the swelling forming under Fiziev's eye, intensifying the drama as they rated the round 10-9 for Fiziev based on his control and activity.
This matchup had all the components of high-stakes MMA drama—rivalry, style clashes, and personal stakes for both fighters. Fiziev faced the pressure of proving his worth after his gatekeeping role, whereas Gaethje aimed to bounce back from recent setbacks. Such circumstances lend themselves to unpredictable outcomes when gladiators once again engage each other.
Heading toward the aftermath, the fight not only showcased the talent but also reflected upon emotions, showcasing the ups and downs fighters endure. This clash at UFC 313 indicates pivotal moments for their careers and could shape both their trajectories moving forward, igniting discussions among fans about where each fighter stands within the competitive lightweight division.
The UFC and its fans reveled once again as they embarked on this adventure, culminating from the first fight through emotions, traditions, and expectations laid before this rematch. Be prepared as the fight pans out, to witness what defines the spirit of the UFC.