France awaits the formation of François Bayrou's government, potentially announced this Sunday, December 22. Following his nomination ten days prior, the new Prime Minister is racing against time, hoping to finalize his cabinet before the festive season arrives.
Initial reports suggest the government may be tripartite, incorporating representatives from the right, the center, and the left, though not equally. The right and Les Républicains (LR) are anticipated to secure notable positions within this newly-formed administration. Particularly, Bruno Retailleau is likely to retain his post as Minister of the Interior, marking him as a pivotal figure. Interestingly, Laurent Wauquiez will not be part of this cabinet.
The central axis of Bayrou's government is expected to be grounded by the MoDem and macronistes. Emmanuel Macron himself is reportedly insisting on the retention of key figures, including Sébastien Lecornu at La Défense and Rachida Dati at the Ministry of Culture.
Gérald Darmanin may also receive a newly established portfolio, with expectations for several associates of Édouard Philippe to join his ranks. This combination hints at a government meant to assure the right's ambition, especially against the backdrop of upcoming challenges.
Yet, the left seems poised to stay on the periphery for now. Only select personalities who have distanced themselves from the Socialist Party (PS) may find their way back to governmental roles. François Rebsamen, the former mayor of Dijon, is among those candidates under consideration, providing insight to the shifting dynamics within party affiliations.
The big unanswered question lingers on the expected longevity of François Bayrou's administration. This will heavily depend on the allegiances within the Socialist Party and their stance on coalition governance. Currently, they express reservations, indicating dissatisfaction with the proposed structure.
Compounding the political atmosphere, the weekend also saw significant events beyond the political sphere. The Coupe de France showcased stunning performances, with Le Puy, from National 2, managing to achieve remarkable success against Montpellier, traditionally associated with Ligue 1, securing a convincing 4-0 victory. Nice and Toulouse also survived tense matches against lower-division foes, emphasizing the thrilling unpredictability of the tournament.
Meanwhile, Macron's efforts to bolster international relations saw him visiting French troops stationed at the military base in Djibouti. This visit symbolically solidifies the renewal of defense cooperation with the African nation, enhancing France's presence on the continent amid concerns about military stability across Africa.
The country's mood is mixed as it also reflects on more somber events, such as the tragic incident at the Christmas market in Germany. A memorial service was held on December 21st at Magdeburg Cathedral for the victims of the deadly attack, which resulted in five fatalities and over 200 injuries. Chancellor Olaf Scholz's presence underlines the gravity of the situation and the need for solidarity.
Overall, Bayrou's government formation carries significant weight, not just for the dynamics of French politics but also for the broader European political climate. The next steps will be closely monitored as the nation inches toward final decisions and announcements, as the outcome will influence various aspects of governance.