On March 13, 2025, tensions escalated significantly during the special broadcast of France 2's "L'Evénement," where prominent political figures discussed the pressing threats posed by Russia and the complex dynamics of peace negotiations concerning Ukraine. The Minister of the Armed Forces, Sébastien Lecornu, underscored France’s posture against the Kremlin, stating, "The Russia has chosen us as adversary. Little by little, we are moving toward a logic of confrontation." This stark warning highlights the increasing recognition within the French government of Russia’s aggressive maneuvers on the international stage.
During the program, Lecornu elaborated on various threats, asserting, "One can be defeated without being invaded, without watching for tanks," indicating the nature of modern warfare which includes cyberattacks and energy warfare. He referenced destabilizing migration flows from Africa to France and emphasized recent cyberattacks on local authorities, noting, "Since the beginning of the week, there have been about ten cyberattacks on local authorities." Such statements reflect the sense of urgency and seriousness with which the government views these threats.
Adding to the debate was Jean-Luc Mélenchon, leader of La France insoumise, who advocated for Ukrainian security to be guaranteed by the United Nations. He remarked, "I support guaranteeing Ukraine’s security by the UN, believing in international law." His call for international intervention highlighted the ideological split within French political discourse about how to best address the situation.
Raphaël Glucksmann, co-president of Place publique and Member of the European Parliament, raised pressing questions about the true nature of supposed peace, provocatively asking, "What is peace? Is it submission to the tyrant?" He emphatically cautioned against any agreements leading to Ukraine's capitulation, stating, "If we want real peace, it must prevent Ukraine's capitulation." His sentiments reflect growing concerns about the delicate balance between peace and sovereignty.
Dominique de Villepin, former Prime Minister, contributed to the discussion with insights about the European perspective on negotiations and the significant issue of roughly €210 billion of Russian assets frozen within Europe. He suggested, "It is necessary to grasp the reality of ownership of these assets and the potential consequences of seizing them," highlighting the precarious nature of international relations involving financial assets. He echoed Lecornu’s concerns and emphasized the need for unity among the French, stating, "We are divided in France, and Emmanuel Macron must restore unity among the French." Villepin’s remarks signal the need for cohesive political action as France navigates these turbulent waters.
Vladimir Putin's recent indication of conditional support for a ceasefire, proposed by the U.S. and Ukraine, prompted Lecornu to stress the necessity of caution, warning not to misinterpret any truce as genuine peace. "All of this can potentially lead to genuine negotiations, but we must be patient," he noted. Such statements portray the complex and often tenuous position of negotiating under threat.
The program continued to showcase various dimensions of the conflict, with experts warning about the long-term psychological aspects of the negotiations. Lecornu highlighted, "Countries like Moldova, Estonia, and Transnistria could be exposed" if the situation escalates uncontrolled. This view reinforces the notion of imminent threat extending beyond Ukraine’s borders.
Glucksmann's final remarks focused on European identity and agency, emphasizing the necessity for Europe to adopt a firmer stance. He starkly pointed out, "When you are not around the negotiation table, you are the menu," advocating for European strength and unity against oppressive forces.
Through these discussions, the real-time reactions of France's political leaders showcase their resolve to navigate these unprecedented challenges, balancing between the need for peace and the integrity of national sovereignty. The diversity of opinions among the leaders reflects the multifaceted nature of diplomacy and national defense as Europe faces its greatest security challenges since the Cold War.
With tensions likely to remain high, the coming weeks will be pivotal as discussions around peace and security continue to evolve. The political and military strategies outlined by these leaders will likely shape Europe’s approach to the Russian threat, emphasizing preparedness and unity among nations.