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27 January 2025

FIB-4 Index Predicts Aneurysm Size And Mortality Risk

New findings suggest liver fibrosis assessment can improve management of abdominal aneurysm patients.

A recent study has highlighted the potential of the FIB-4 index, originally developed for assessing liver fibrosis, as a significant predictor of mortality risk and abdominal aneurysm size among patients undergoing open abdominal aortic aneurysm repair.

Abdominal Aortic Aneurysm (AAA) is known for its silent progression and the high mortality associated with its rupture. Given the serious health risks posed by AAA, identifying effective prognostic markers is of utmost importance. The study conducted at Namazi Hospital in Shiraz, Iran, sought to explore the association of the FIB-4 index with aneurysm size and mortality risk, leveraging retrospective data from 141 patients who underwent open repair surgery.

Findings revealed concerning correlations: FIB-4 values exceeding 2.67 were linked to not only higher mortality risk—reflected by a hazard ratio of 1.78—but also to larger aneurysm sizes, with sizes of ≥ 8 centimeters being significant indicators. Specifically, patients with FIB-4 levels at or above this threshold had over twice the odds (odds ratio 2.67) of having larger aneurysms.

This association has compelling clinical significance as the study’s findings imply the FIB-4 index could improve the stratification and management strategies for AAA patients. Those with elevated FIB-4 readings are likely to require more intensive monitoring and potentially earlier interventions, considering the alarming rupture risk linked to larger AA sizes, which can reach 30-50% annually.

The research, spanning from October 2016 to September 2021, not only emphasizes the potential of the FIB-4 index as a reliable biomarker for cardiovascular risk assessment but also aligns with previous studies linking liver fibrosis to cardiovascular conditions—a relationship gaining traction across various health studies.

Notably, previous research has corroborated the FIB-4 index’s effectiveness as a prognostic tool, demonstrating its ability to predict adverse outcomes in populations with non-alcoholic fatty liver disease and cardiovascular diseases. The current findings echo this pattern, indicating the FIB-4 index may also serve as a surrogate marker for systemic vascular dysfunction among AAA patients.

To gauge the link between liver health and AAA size and mortality, the study utilized both Cox and logistic regression analyses, evaluating the relevance of various covariates such as hypertension status, diabetes, and other health conditions. The results affirm the bidirectional association identified between liver fibrosis, cardiovascular health, and AAA, underscoring the need for more integrated approaches to patient care.

These findings, published recently, advocate for the incorporation of the FIB-4 index as part of routine clinical practice for monitoring AAA patients. While the present study brings to light the potential of leveraging non-invasive and cost-effective tools for enhanced patient care, it also opens doors for future research aimed at establishing clearer clinical guidelines related to its application.

Further investigations are warranted to validate these findings and establish the most effective risk assessment strategies, including the exploration of whether FIB-4 can predict AAA progression over time, which remains to be fully understood.

Continued research is also necessary to explore the relationship between liver fibrosis and the long-term outcomes of AAA patients, ensuring the clinical utility of the FIB-4 index evolves alongside our growing comprehension of these interrelated health challenges.