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Economy
04 January 2025

Ecuador’s Economic Revival Boosted By Infrastructure Investments

EIB partners with local banks to improve water systems amid energy crisis and banana export growth

The European Investment Bank (EIB) has announced a significant move to bolster Ecuador's infrastructure by collaborating with the Development Bank of Ecuador (BDE) to improve water supply and sanitation networks across the nation. The EIB’s USD 100 million loan will be directed to finance the construction and rehabilitation of water supply, wastewater, and stormwater networks as part of Ecuador’s national program, titled "Water and Sanitation for All." This initiative demonstrates commerce at its best, where financial partnerships aim to meet the pressing needs of urban populations.

Alongside the financial backing, the EIB and BDE will engage with the German international cooperation agency (GIZ) to assist local project promoters by conducting feasibility studies and developing capacities within the BDE and various local governments. Presently, the BDE manages 14 committed projects, and discussions are underway for negotiating a second credit line with the EIB focused on water and solid waste management projects.

While the progress in water management is promising, Ecuador is still grappling with the aftermath of a severe electric power crisis. The country, which heavily relies on hydropower, has been dealing with substantial energy shortages exacerbated by drought conditions. Under President Daniel Noboa's administration, drastic measures were taken when power cuts of over 14 hours were imposed over three months to manage the generation deficit. Interestingly, this government initiative required major consumers, including Canadian miner Lundin Gold and Chinese company EcuaCorriente, to disconnect from the grid temporarily.

Ending their power cuts on December 20, the government launched discussions on improving energy generation capabilities. Meanwhile, Colombia played its part by providing around 400MW of energy during the crisis, along with generating additional capacity through barge-hired resources. Rainfall in the southern regions of Ecuador also aided recovery aspects, helping to replenish reservoirs at Coca-Codo-Sinclair, the country's largest hydro plant.

Despite these efforts, experts warn of continued risks. Gabriel Secaira, a local energy analyst, emphasized, "Even if we... without considering the annual increase in demand," referring to the necessity of improving thermal generation to secure supply during dryer months, especially around October when hydroelectric plants are most vulnerable. Companies like Lundin Gold have had to be proactive, activating self-generation capabilities to combat the deficits. Lundin mentioned, "They will arrive this month and will be operational in the first quarter," referring to the newly acquired diesel generators aimed to stabilize their energy needs.

Simultaneously, EcuaCorriente, facing the brunt of the crisis due to insufficient self-generation infrastructure, has engaged with government officials to brainstorm future actions. Their US$650 million expansion plan for the Mirador project remains at risk without enhanced strategies for energy independence.

Though these challenges overshadow the current economic climate, some sectors are witnessing positive growth. The Ecuadorian banana export industry has reported notable successes, with exports increasing for the third consecutive month, reaching 4.53 million additional boxes—amounting to a 1.39% year-over-year increase. The country has successfully shipped 330.90 million boxes until November 2023, outpacing previous figures, thanks to strategies successfully adopted amid logistical obstacles.

Key markets for Ecuadorian bananas continue to thrive, particularly the European Union, which remains the principal destination. Despite logistical hurdles such as global route congestion and fierce competition from Chilean products, Ecuador’s exports have held steady, bolstered by strong demand especially from France, Germany, and Malta.

While demand from markets like Russia and the Middle East may have decreased, increased shipments to the EU, United States, and other areas have mitigated the impact. Notable growth was reported with the United States seeing exports jump by 27.24%. AEBE highlighted the resilience of the banana sector, stating, "Even with challenges, we have managed to effectively place limited supplies within strategic markets."

This multi-faceted approach to improving overall infrastructure—combining investment with crisis management and growth strategies—illustrates Ecuador's potential to maneuver through economic hurdles. Although persistent challenges remain, the announcements of collaborations and success stories from different sectors embody hope for Ecuador's future economy.