In a highly anticipated clash at the WTA Miami Open, Croatian tennis star Donna Vekic, ranked No. 19 in the world, is set to face Swiss player Rebeka Masarova, ranked No. 168, in the round of 64. The match is scheduled for Thursday, March 20, 2025, at 6:30 PM ET.
According to Dimers’ cutting-edge predictive model, Vekic enters the match as the favorite, boasting an impressive simulated win probability of 76%. "Using the latest data, we simulated Thursday's Vekic-Masarova match 10,000 times," stated Greg Butyn, a data analyst at Dimers. "Taking into account recent updates and various additional inputs, we forecast Donna Vekic with a win probability of 76% and Rebeka Masarova with 24%." This analysis is indicative of the strong form Vekic has shown on hard courts, despite a consecutive challenge in her recent match against Madison Keys at the BNP Paribas Open.
Vekic's record on hard courts over the past twelve months stands at 11-11, which is a reflection of her consistent play, even when faced with tough opponents. In her previous match, Vekic faced Keys, ultimately falling in a tightly contested match with scores of 6-4, 6-7, 3-6. This only adds to the narrative that Vekic has the experience and skill level to advance past Masarova, particularly in hard-court conditions.
Meanwhile, Masarova is coming off a three-set victory over Greet Minnen, where she demonstrated remarkable resilience by coming back from a set down to win 6-7, 6-4, 7-5. This win was significant for Masarova as she seeks to build momentum in the Miami Open. Despite her lower ranking, Masarova’s aggressive playstyle and recent performances suggest she should not be underestimated.
When it comes to the betting odds, Vekic shows -350 odds to win the match, while Masarova is listed as the underdog at +260. The model's predictions suggest that Vekic is also favored to win the first set, with odds sitting at -250 compared to Masarova’s +200.
The Miami Open represents a critical opportunity for both players, especially for Vekic, who is motivated to not only win this match but also to make a deeper impact in the tournament than in previous years. Her best results at the Miami Open include reaching the third round in 2014, 2018, 2019, and 2023, but her fans and analysts alike are hoping for a better showing this year.
On the other hand, Masarova has yet to find similar success on this stage. Ranked 168, she aims to use this match as a stepping stone toward improving her ranking and gaining valuable experience against higher-ranked opponents. Her goal is clear: Whenever she steps onto the court, she gives her all and seeks to upset the odds against a seasoned competitor like Vekic.
Fans looking to keep up with Vekic vs. Masarova can tune into the match on Tennis Channel or stream it on platforms like FuboTV. As the excitement builds for what promises to be an engaging encounter, both players know that the stakes are high, and every point counts. This detailed analysis from Dimers not only provides clarity for bettors but also serves to enhance the viewing experience for fans eager to witness professional tennis at its finest.
The predictions, odds, and match statistics provide a rich tapestry of context to this matchup, and it's clear that all eyes will be on Vekic as she approaches the match with a proactive strategy, while Masarova looks to leverage her unpredictability as an underdog. The atmosphere is sure to be electric as the women take to court on Thursday afternoon.
Excitement is in the air as the two serve up what many hope will be a thrilling battle at the Miami Open, showcasing the determination of both athletes as they vie for victory.
