Daniil Medvedev is preparing to face off against Jaume Munar in the 1/32 finals of the ATP 1000 tournament in Miami on March 21, 2025. This highly anticipated match is set to begin around 21:00 Moscow time (14:00 local time), with Medvedev regarded as an overwhelming favorite to win.
Medvedev, a 29-year-old Russian tennis player, has had notable performances in the past year, including a triumph at the Miami tournament in 2023. He enters this match with the momentum of reaching the semifinals at the recent Indian Wells tournament, where he exhibited his powerful gameplay, despite ultimately falling to Holger Rune in two closely contested sets (5:7, 4:6) on March 15, 2025. His current ATP ranking is 8th, and he has accumulated a strong record of 12 wins out of 18 matches on hard courts this year, further strengthening his standing as one of the top competitors in the tournament.
Across his previous appearances in Miami, Medvedev has made a mark, with his worst finish being the 1/8 finals since his debut in 2018. With an average of 7 aces per match in 2025, and only 3 double faults in each game, his serve has become a key weapon in his arsenal. Moreover, he has shown impressive statistics, winning 10 of the 11 matches where he claimed the first set.
Contrastingly, Jaume Munar, the 27-year-old Spaniard currently ranked 56th in the ATP system, has had a less illustrious history at the Miami tournament. In four previous appearances, Munar has never advanced past the second round. However, he has made a notable start in this season's tournament, securing a victory against Arthur Rinderknech of France in the 1/64 rounds (6:3, 7:6). Munar displayed a strong performance, winning 79% of points on his first serve, converting 1 out of 5 break points while committing only 3 aces during the match.
Munar has shown resilience in his matches, and with 6 wins out of 10 on hard courts this season, he is not to be taken lightly. In 2025 alone, 5 out of Munar's 6 victories came as the underdog, showcasing his ability to perform under pressure.
As both players get ready for this match, Medvedev's statistical advantage holds significant weight. Given his history on the Miami courts, where conditions favor his playing style, it's unlikely that Munar can create an upset against the higher-ranked Russian. Betting odds reflect this sentiment, offering a coefficient of 1.18 for Medvedev's victory and 5.00 in favor of Munar. Earning a total over 20.5 games is another betting option, currently valued at 1.87.
Interestingly, Medvedev and Munar have never played against each other, introducing a unique element to the contest. Despite their prolonged careers in the ATP circuit, meeting for the first time adds a layer of unpredictability. While Medvedev will likely adapt his strategy based on Munar's gameplay, it's essential to note how anxiousness may affect his performance, especially in a new matchup.
Experts suggest betting on Medvedev to win straight in two sets, with predictive insights indicating he should comfortably pass Munar without extended tension. A suggested bet for this match is Medvedev with a handicap of -4, which points to a confident outcome in his favor.
Overall, the match promises excitement as tennis fans anticipate a compelling battle between two distinct playing styles. If Medvedev maintains his focus and capitalizes on his experience on faster surfaces, he is expected to deliver a robust performance, emphasizing the importance of staying consistent and managing the ebb and flow of the match. The projected outcomes highlight the capacity of Medvedev to thrive, showcasing why bookmakers and fans alike are rooting for his success.
