A severe weather event has unfolded recently as Cyclone ASNA, which formed over the Arabian Sea, has diverted its path away from Karachi, Pakistan’s largest city, but not without leaving its mark. On September 1, 2024, the cyclone was reported to be approximately 230 kilometers southwest of Karachi, moving toward Oman, but still on course to create troublesome weather across several regions, particularly Balochistan.
Dr. Sardar Sarfaraz, Pakistan's chief meteorologist, indicated on state media, "Despite Cyclone ASNA’s shift toward Oman, we expect significant repercussions here. Balochistan, especially, is at risk of facing intense rainfall, more so than Sindh." The cyclone had originated near India’s Rann of Kutch coastline and intensified quickly, highlighting the unpredictable nature of such weather systems.
With the cyclone still exerting influence over Pakistan’s weather, areas including Karachi, Badin, Thatta, Sujawal, Hyderabad, Tando Mohammad Khan, and Tando Allah Yar are under warnings for potential heavy rain and thunderstorms. Meanwhile, coastal districts of the Balochistan province, such as Hub, Lasbela, Awaran, Kech, and Gwadar, are particularly expected to encounter more severe conditions.
Authorities reacted preemptively, relocating all aircraft at Karachi's Jinnah International Airport, ensuring the safety of passengers and equipment. The adverse weather has already wreaked havoc, contributing to flash floods and power outages across Karachi, prompting local schools to close.
These extreme weather conditions come on the heels of monsoon rainfall patterns experienced throughout the year, which have already caused significant destruction. According to the National Disaster Management Authority, the monsoon season since July has tragically claimed 285 lives, with Balochistan accounting for 29 fatalities, followed by 88 in Khyber Pakhtunkhwa, 106 in Punjab, and 50 more from Sindh.
Flooding caused by the heavy rains has been particularly destructive. On Friday prior to the cyclone's arrival, Karachi saw substantial flash flooding resulting from downpours, leaving many areas inundated and suffering from prolonged electricity outages. Low-lying regions of the Makran coast are also under alert for potential flooding, should the rains continue to strengthen as anticipated.
Pakistan has seemingly faced more extreme weather patterns over the years, often attributed to the realities of climate change impacting local climates. The year saw its wettest April since 1961, followed by deadly heat waves earlier this summer. Just two years ago, the country was hit by devastating floods resulting from intense rains, which affected millions and caused economic damages estimated at around $30 billion.
This precarious weather pattern emphasizes the vulnerabilities facing Pakistan as scientific reports highlight the increasing frequency of erratic weather events. Observers note the societal impact is multi-dimensional, straining infrastructure, healthcare systems, and economy alike.
With forecasters continuing to monitor Cyclone ASNA's progression, residents of affected areas are advised to prepare for potential emergency responses. The cyclone's winds and rain dangers may linger for days, and officials are working diligently to keep citizens informed as conditions evolve. The PMD’s cyclone warning center is vigilantly watching the situation and prepared to provide timely updates.
