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22 January 2025

Cocoa Shortage Causes Chocolate Prices To Skyrocket

Major retailers raise Milka prices from €1.49 to €1.99 amid soaring cocoa costs and climate challenges.

Chocolate lovers are facing significant price hikes at grocery stores due to soaring cocoa prices, driven by global shortages. Major retailers such as Aldi, Edeka, Kaufland, Rewe, and Rossmann have raised the price of Milka chocolate bars from €1.49 to €1.99 this week, marking an alarming increase of around 33%. This change reflects just one example of the broader trend impacting consumers who are increasingly forced to dig deep for their favorite treats.

The surge is not limited to Milka; other chocolate brands, including Ritter Sport and Lindt, have also raised their prices amid alarming trends affecting cocoa supply chains. According to price analysis from Smhaggle, Milka's manufacturer, Mondelez, has not officially commented on the price changes yet, though it has already raised prices by around 10% last summer. Such adjustments have become common as manufacturers cite deepening struggles linked to poor harvests and the adverse impacts of climate change.

Recent statistics show the average price of chocolate bars rose 14.6% from the previous year as of December 2024, according to the Federal Statistical Office. Meanwhile, cocoa prices at the New York commodity exchange soared by over 160% last year and peaked at unprecedented levels, compounding the financial burdens of both manufacturers and consumers.

Kerstin Weber, a WWF expert, remarked, "Cocoa is scarce on the world markets. This drives prices up." Extreme weather patterns—including prolonged droughts, heavy rains, and flooding—have wreaked havoc on cocoa production, leading to lower yields and poorer quality beans. These conditions have prompted manufacturers to pass on their increased costs to consumers.

Peter Feld, CEO of Barry Callebaut, confirmed these challenges, stating, "Our business year began with new peaks of cocoa bean prices, which created additional market pressure." Despite these adversities, Feld sees potential for considerable growth within the industry, indicating resilience is key even when faced with external pressures from commodity pricing.

This upward trend has not only impacted the cost of chocolate bars like Milka but extends across the entire chocolate market. Competitors such as Lindt & Sprüngli reported similar pricing strategies, with plans for additional increases slated for 2025. The forecast suggests the chocolate price hikes are unlikely to revert to historic levels soon, reinforcing customer anticipation for high prices moving forward.

While some retailers still offer Milka chocolate at the older price of €1.49, regional differences reflect promotional discounts. Persistent pressure on cocoa prices could mean notable disparities across different regions, with consumers experiencing inconsistent pricing even within the same grocery chains.

Waiting for the market’s stabilization appears futile as experts predict high cocoa prices will persist through 2025. Weber explains, "The combination of extreme weather events, diseases afflicting cocoa trees, and supply chain challenges means cocoa will remain scarce." This outlook leaves little room for optimism, particularly for chocolate enthusiasts who find themselves paying more for the same indulgences.

Studying trends over the years shows rising cocoa prices have pressured many manufacturers to adjust standard retail pricing across multiple product lines, leading to disenchantment among buyers. The reality of higher costs per bar might deter some consumers, but for many, the sweet embrace of chocolate remains irresistible, irrespective of the price tag.

This situation serves as another reminder of how interlinked climate issues are with consumer goods and pricing structures. Shifts within the cocoa supply chain continue to reverberate through the chocolate industry, compelling consumers to reconsider their purchasing behavior. Will chocolate lovers remain loyal to their brands? Only time will tell as market pressures continue to influence the sweet products they crave.