In a pivotal moment for German politics, the coalition negotiations between the conservative parties CDU and CSU and the Social Democrats (SPD) are entering a challenging phase, with a particular focus on migration policy issues threatening to divide the parties further. The discussions among the 16 working groups representing these parties began in earnest, laying the groundwork for a new coalition agreement that could reshape Germany's governing landscape.
As part of this process, the working groups are tasked with delivering proposals within a week. By March 24, 2025, the parties aim to present a draft coalition agreement, which will illustrate their plans alongside budgetary implications for the present and forthcoming years. However, key differences remain unresolved, particularly concerning the treatment of asylum seekers.
The SPD, under the leadership of influential figures like Ralf Stegner, remains firm in its opposition to the CDU leader Friedrich Merz's demands for a 'migration turnaround' that includes general rejections of asylum seekers at the German border. Stegner articulated the SPD's position clearly, telling the newspaper Bild, "A future coalition will not violate European law, endanger European unity, or exacerbate conflicts with neighbors." This statement underscores the party's commitment to maintaining legal standards in migration management.
Negotiations seem fraught with complexity, particularly when considering differing views on communication with European Union nations about asylum rejections. The SPD advocates for obtaining consent from EU partners before implementing such measures—a requirement not shared by the CDU. Leaders within the CDU assert that simply informing neighboring states would suffice. This discrepancy adds another layer of tension as the parties navigate toward a consensus.
The urgency of the matter is further amplified by public sentiment regarding migration levels. CDU's Saxony Minister-President Michael Kretschmer emphasized this in a recent interview, stating, "It is clear that the people in Germany can't handle 500,000 immigrants over the last two years anymore, and the SPD has understood this." His remarks reflect a broader concern about public tolerance for migration numbers and a potential push for stricter control measures.
The pressure within coalition talks is palpable, as CDU and SPD grapple with their voters' expectations. The SPD is under scrutiny for previously advocating lenient immigration policies, and compromising on this issue might alienate their base. Kretschmer expressed optimism, predicting a top-level meeting by the end of next week that could pave the way for resolving migration disputes and aligning both parties on essential policies. Leaders, however, remain cautious, noting that a resolution to such a contentious issue is not guaranteed.
Additionally, voices from the German Police Union (DPOLG) have added to the conversation, urging the CDU against making concessions to the SPD on migration. Rainer Wendt, chief of the DPOLG, asserted that there can be no compromises regarding asylum policy, particularly concerning rejections at the border. He called for enforcing stricter measures to control illegal migration, stating that the necessary changes cannot just be inscribed in law but must also be actively implemented.
As coalition negotiations progress, the question remains: is a substantive agreement possible between the Union and the SPD regarding migration policy? With significant stakes for all parties involved, resolving these differences is crucial not only to ensure a governing coalition but also to address the broader concerns of the German public in a time of increasing migration pressures.
The outcome of these negotiations will likely set the tone for several key policies affecting Germany's future. As leaders continue to hold discussions, the deadline of March 24 looms, pressing them to find constructive solutions to their conflicts, particularly concerning the contentious and sensitive issue of migration. With both parties facing pressure from their constituents and internal factions, the next steps will be critical in defining this coalition's legacy and its approach to one of the most pressing issues facing Europe today.
