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Science
21 July 2024

Climate Change Is Slowing Earth's Rotation

Melting ice from climate crisis could soon surpass the Moon's influence on Earth's spin

Imagine a world where humanity's actions are not just impacting the climate but also altering the very fabric of time itself. Recent studies reveal that the relentless march of climate change is causing the Earth's days to lengthen and is even shifting the planet's axis of rotation. Initiated by teams from ETH Zurich and backed by NASA, these revelations emphasize the profound impact of our carbon emissions on the intricate workings of our planet.

It sounds like something out of a sci-fi novel. Water from melting ice caps in Greenland and Antarctica is steadily flowing into the oceans, enough to redistribute the mass of the entire planet. According to Professor Benedikt Soja from ETH Zurich, this shift in mass affects how the Earth spins, causing it to slow down, akin to a figure skater extending her arms to decelerate a spin. The results of these shifts are being recorded meticulously, revealing that days on Earth are getting longer, albeit by mere milliseconds each century.

The research, detailed in two papers published in Nature Geoscience and the Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences, uncovers that these changes are not just minor anomalies. They represent a substantial shift in the forces that have governed Earth's rotation for billions of years. The Earth's motion has traditionally been influenced by the gravitational pull of the Moon, causing tidal forces. However, the rate at which humanity is pumping greenhouse gases into the atmosphere means that our influence could soon surpass that of the Moon.

"We humans have a greater impact on our planet than we realize," remarked Professor Soja, highlighting the newfound responsibility humanity bears for safeguarding the planet. Indeed, melting ice does not only affect Earth's rotational speed but also its axis, a phenomenon known as polar motion. Dr. Mostafa Kiani Shahvandi, a doctoral student under Soja, explained that the melting ice shifts mass from the poles toward the equator, resulting in a more oblate Earth and thereby affecting its spin.

Tracking these subtle yet significant changes requires cutting-edge technology. The researchers from ETH Zurich employed AI-driven models known as physics-informed neural networks to simulate and predict how the redistribution of mass from melted ice influences Earth’s rotation and axis. These models confirmed that since 1900, the North Pole has been drifting towards Hudson Bay, and the trend has only accelerated in recent decades.

These studies underscore the interconnectedness of Earth's systems. Changes in the surface, such as melting ice, have consequences that resonate deep within the planet, affecting even the molten liquid outer core. Professor Surendra Adhikari from NASA’s Jet Propulsion Laboratory emphasized, "Climate change is melting so much ice that we can see a huge impact on the very way how the planet is spinning." Such revelations carry significant implications, particularly for space exploration and navigation. Precise knowledge of Earth's rotational speed is critical to the accuracy of satellite launches and landings.

The incremental slowing of Earth’s rotation, translated to mere milliseconds per century, might sound insignificant but has vast implications. For instance, timekeeping systems that rely on atomic clocks, such as those used in global communication networks and financial systems, need to account for these tiny changes. Even a deviation of one centimeter on Earth’s surface could result in hundreds of meters of error when navigating a spacecraft.

The studies also present a grim forecast for the future. If greenhouse gas emissions continue on their current trajectory, the Earth's days could lengthen by as much as 2.6 milliseconds per century by 2100, overshadowing the lunar influence for the first time. On a more hopeful note, even if emissions are curbed, the lengthening of days is expected to continue at a rate of about 1 millisecond per century, still a significant change from previous geological periods.

Understanding these changes is not merely academic. As Richard Peltier from the University of Toronto noted, "The changes in Earth rotation documented were caused by the global warming process." The implications extend to every corner of our technological world—GPS systems, satellite communications, and even internet data centers rely on precise timing. Any disruption in Earth's rotational speed could cascade into global disruptions in these systems.

These scientific revelations also hint at the broader and more insidious impacts of climate change. With each passing year, as ice continues to melt, humanity's imprint on Earth becomes more profound and inescapable, altering systems previously thought immutable. It is a clarion call for climate action, urging immediate steps to mitigate these changes and avoid severe long-term consequences.

The findings illustrate a sobering reality: our planet is an intricate, interconnected system where actions in one area ripple out, causing changes that might once have seemed unimaginable. As the researchers concluded, the responsibility lies squarely on our shoulders to safeguard these delicate balances for future generations.

So next time you glance at a clock, remember that each second is subtly influenced by shifts and changes deep within Earth’s core—a poignant reminder of humanity’s ongoing dance with the planet's time.

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