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Climate & Environment
15 August 2024

Climate Change Fuels Deadly Landslides In Kerala

Scientists confirm human-caused climate change intensified monsoon rains, leading to catastrophic landslides and significant loss of life

A devastating tragedy struck India's southern state of Kerala last month when relentless monsoon rains triggered catastrophic landslides. This disaster, which occurred on July 30, buried numerous homes and communities under tonnes of debris, resulting in the tragic loss of at least 200 lives, with many residents still unaccounted for.

According to scientists from the World Weather Attribution (WWA), climate change significantly exacerbated the intensity of rainfall leading to these landslides. A rapid analysis revealed the downpour was about 10% heavier due to human-induced global warming, categorizing it as one of the heaviest single-day rainfalls recorded - about 140mm (5.5 inches) - making it the third-worst rainfall since 1901.

Researchers noted this was not just another freak weather incident. Climate change has altered weather patterns over the years, leading to increasingly frequent and intense storms and rainfall events, with Kerala seeing heavy downpours roughly every 50 years, now occurring more regularly.

"The Wayanad landslides are another catastrophic example of climate change playing out in real time," explained Mariam Zachariah, one of the study's authors from Imperial College London. She added, "Before climate change, similar downpours were incredibly rare, but with global temperatures rising, we are seeing more violent weather patterns, which threaten the safety of communities across the region."

This concerning trend isn't just limited to heavy rains. A staggering 62% decrease in Kerala's forest cover since 1950 has been reported, significantly contributing to diminishes slope stability, making the region particularly vulnerable to landslides during such intense rainfall.

Kerala has faced its share of weather disasters. The region experienced devastating floods in 2018, which resulted in over 500 deaths, showcasing its vulnerability to climate-induced calamities. Climate scientists warn these events are not isolated incidents but part of a broader worrying pattern resulting from climate change.

Data indicates climate change has made extreme rainfall far more likely and will continue to intensify without drastic global action to reduce greenhouse gases emissions. Current climate models predict rainfall intensity could increase by another 4% with global temperatures rising by 2°C above pre-industrial levels.

Moving forward, the WWA recommends implementing various measures to combat future disasters. Suggested actions include conducting thorough landslide risk assessments, improving local early warning systems, restricting construction on hillsides, and enhancing evacuation protocols to keep communities safe from future storms.

Arpita Mondal, another co-author of the WWA study, emphasized the need for urgency, stating, "We need to shift from fossil fuels to renewable energy to mitigate these challenges. Without immediate changes, we risk facing even deadlier scenarios."

This disaster has raised critical alarm bells, serving as a stark reminder of the pressing need for both international and local-level actions against climate change. The situation underlines the importance of addressing climate change directly as it continues to shape the lives of millions through more frequent and severe weather disasters, affecting vulnerable regions, particularly across India.

The Wayanad region's experience reflects the need for awareness and action. With dire predictions on the horizon if fossil fuel dependence persists, finding solutions to tackle climate change is not just imperative, but it is the only pathway forward for many affected communities.

While efforts are underway to improve disaster preparedness and address climate resilience, the real challenge remains how swiftly and effectively these measures can be integrated and implemented on the ground. The clock is ticking, and the stakes couldn't be higher for communities like those living under the shadow of Wayanad's hills.

This approach requires relentless commitment both from governments and citizens aiming for sustainable practices. Extinguishing the fires fueled by climate change will necessitate systemic changes across India and beyond, ensuring future generations inherit not only rich cultural heritage but also secure and stable environments.

Rescuers continue to sift through the debris of the landslide, searching for survivors and victims. Yet, beyond the immediate tragedies, there lies an urgent call for responsibility and action to protect lives from the destructive powers of nature heightened by climate change.

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