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14 November 2024

China Enhances Naval Power With Nuclear Aspirations

China's plans for nuclear-powered carriers reflect ambitions to rival U.S. dominance and expand global maritime reach

China is making significant strides toward solidifying its naval power, capturing global attention as it pushes forward with plans for nuclear-powered aircraft carriers. A recent report from the Associated Press revealed the country's efforts in constructing a land-based prototype nuclear reactor, which is part of its ambition to challenge U.S. naval dominance.

This ambitious move reflects the broader goals outlined by President Xi Jinping, who envisions establishing China as a top-tier naval power. The new reactor, situated at Base 909 in Sichuan Province, signifies progress toward developing China's first operational nuclear-powered carrier, enhancing the operational range and capabilities of its naval fleet.

Nuclear-powered aircraft carriers, unlike their conventionally powered counterparts, have the advantage of remaining at sea longer without the need for frequent refueling. This allows for greater operational flexibility, increasing the number of aircraft deployments and enabling the carrying of more weapons and fuel. Currently, the U.S. leads the world with 11 nuclear-powered carriers whereas France boasts one; China's current direction suggests it could soon join these ranks.

China's move is part of its rapid fleet modernization strategy, which includes commissioning its third conventionally powered carrier, known as the Fujian. The transition to nuclear-powered vessels not only enhances their global operational capacity but also aligns with China's ambition to establish itself as a true “blue-water” navy.

While the benefits of nuclear propulsion are clear, experts caution about the challenges involved. A report from the Institut Français des Relations Internationales highlighted the complexity of nuclear technology, including the requirements for safety protocols, handling crew radiation, and the technological demands of operating such vessels. Expertise and specialized facilities are also prerequisites, aspects where many nations, including China, continue to develop.

To project power effectively, especially within strategic waters like the Indian Ocean and the Pacific, China has focused on logistics. Nonetheless, it faces significant hurdles due to the geographical limitations of friendly ports for refueling and resupply during extended operations. The need for reliable infrastructures constrains its ability to maintain sustained naval presence away from home ports.

Recent assessments, including those from publications such as Asia Times and War on the Rocks, suggest China’s aspirations for naval dominance may still fall short without strategic bases to support operations. The nation has only one official overseas base located in Djibouti, which primarily serves non-combat roles, such as humanitarian missions and counter-piracy.

Conversely, China's reliance on dual-use commercial ports across the Indian Ocean highlights both its ambitious maritime goals and its inherent vulnerabilities. The absence of dedicated military support bases could jeopardize its interests, making them susceptible to disruptions, particularly considering how central the Indian Ocean routes are to its economic health.

The report emphasized the Indian Ocean's significance where India currently holds distinct advantages with established naval infrastructures and strategic partnerships, such as those with the U.S. Consequently, China’s challenges might persist as it seeks to extend its reach across the region.

Meanwhile, shifting to the Pacific, reports indicate China has intensified its strategic ambitions, especially with the controversial security pact signed with the Solomon Islands. This agreement allows Chinese naval vessels to dock and refuel, signaling potential military aspirations reminiscent of Imperial Japan's approach leading up to World War II.

Past attempts to establish military footholds have faced resistance, evident as regions like Vanuatu and Papua New Guinea opted for partnerships with the U.S. rather than with China. The Solomon Islands’ 2019 decision to pivot from Taiwan to China highlights the geopolitical struggle, with local governments wary of lasting military commitments from Beijing.

Grant Newsham, writing for Asia Times, detailed how China's long-term strategy focuses on political influence and economic ties as it builds partnerships across the Pacific islands by framing investments as civilian initiatives. This multifaceted effort includes constructing airfields and facilities under the guise of improving tourism, blurring the lines of intent and security.

Critics argue these tactics might undermine U.S. military priorities, particularly as China continues to shape favorable conditions for its maritime interests. Yet, adapting to this changing environment requires the U.S. to recognize the political warfare strategies at play, countering not only military investments but also China's attempts to solidify its influence across the region.

Meanwhile, amid these global naval ambitions, economic relations between China and countries like Papua New Guinea (PNG) reveal another layer of complex interaction. The Seventh China International Import Expo recently held showcased how countries, including PNG, seek opportunities to connect with Chinese markets.

During the expo, officials emphasized the potential for enhanced trade, acknowledging the regulated nature of China’s business environment. Hildegard Rai, the director of PNG's National Trade Office, highlighted the expo's role as not just a backdrop for showcasing goods but also building relationships between PNG businesses and Chinese counterparts.

Yet, as businesses endeavor to navigate the Chinese market, significant challenges loom, such as language barriers and the intricacies of regulatory frameworks. Understanding the cultural nuances of doing business is also pivotal; relationships and trust are fundamental tenets of trade practices here, highlighting the need for local firms to establish rapport with Chinese stakeholders.

Rai outlined the importance of improving PNG's marketing presence and making its resources and products readily available to attract investor interest. He noted the potential for investment particularly within sectors such as agriculture, fisheries, and tourism, as well as innovative sectors like renewable energy.

Through efforts like the CIIE and collaborative partnerships, there is hope for PNG to strengthen its economic ties with not only China but other international players, embracing the global market dynamics. The expo serves as not just a networking opportunity but as a means to solidify PNG’s role on the international economic stage.

Reflecting on this complex web of naval power, economic aspirations, and international relations, it is evident how China's ambitions are reshaping maritime dynamics, extending beyond mere possessions of naval vessels to include strategic footholds and economic partnerships worldwide. These developments reveal a new chapter as countries adapt to competitive pressures and seek to navigate the changing tides of global influence.

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