Chandigarh ended February with significant rainfall, but still faced substantial deficits compared to historical averages. The India Meteorological Department (IMD) reported the city received just 17.8 mm of precipitation during the month, falling short of the normal 33 mm, resulting in a 47% rainfall deficiency.
The closing days of February saw 10.9 mm of rain overnight coupled with 1.6 mm during the day on February 28. This late-month precipitation offered some respite from what had otherwise been a dry spell for most of the month.
Surender Paul, director of IMD Chandigarh, attributed the rainfall shortfall to the lack of significant Western Disturbances (WDs) throughout February, with the exception of the last two days which improved conditions slightly. "There weren't many major Western Disturbances during the month, which traditionally bring much-needed rain to this region," he stated.
Delving back to the climatic conditions of the past, February 2023 recorded 57.2 mm of rain, contrasting sharply with this year's figures. The absence of rain during the same time the previous year had led to concerns about drought-like conditions setting in.
Looking forward, the IMD indicated continued chances of rain over the weekend, as the recently active Western Disturbances maintain their influence over the region. Snowfall observed in Himachal Pradesh is expected to push colder winds toward Chandigarh, which might lead to additional precipitation.
The fluctuation in temperature was also notable, as February began with unusually warm nights. The average minimum temperature registered for the month was reported at 15.3 °C on February 28—a drop from 18.5°C recorded on Thursday, but still 3.4 degrees higher than normal. Meanwhile, the average maximum temperature slightly shifted to 22°C, also indicating cooler conditions compared to earlier trends.
Remarkably, February 2024, which followed weather patterns similar to this year’s, fared even worse, hinting at persistent anomalies within the climate patterns affecting the region. Weather experts remain watchful, emphasizing the potential for shifts resulting from climate change and global weather patterns.
Despite the recent rainfall, the Chandigarh population, who are eager for consistent weather patterns, remain cautious. Feedback from residents indicates concern about erratic weather putting pressures on local agriculture and water supply systems. The city's farmers are particularly attuned to these fluctuations, as they can directly impact sowing and harvesting schedules.
With this month's lack of rain still fresh on the mind, areas of agriculture have begun to express worry about the long-term impacts if precipitation does not stabilize. Locals are urging governmental bodies to pay attention to this trend and bolster water conservation efforts as water tables continue to fluctuate.
Paul reiterated the IMD's commitment to monitoring weather conditions closely, as they evaluate the changing climate's impact on precipitation patterns and climate stability.
Residents of Chandigarh will be closely observing upcoming weather forecasts, as expectations for consistent rainfall continue to hang heavily over both agricultural and urban planning sectors. The hope is for patterns to normalize, aligning closer with historical averages to alleviate water concerns moving forward.