The Bureau of Meteorology is closely monitoring two potential tropical cyclones forming off Australia’s northeastern coastline, and one significant name change is drawing attention. Originally set to be named ‘Anthony’, the next tropical cyclone has had its name switched to ‘Alfred’ to avoid confusion with Prime Minister Anthony Albanese. This decision follows tradition, which dictates alternating cyclone names alphabetically between male and female.
Currently, there’s been the development of a tropical low approximately 400 km northeast of Cairns, and forecasters are tracking its formation closely as it heads toward the weekend. According to Bureau of Meteorology senior meteorologist Jonathan How, the chances of this low transforming fully—into Cyclone Alfred—are moderate but are expected to increase significantly from Monday onward.
Although this cyclone has the potential to form, it poses no immediate threat to Queensland. How noted, “The tropical low will remain well offshore and move to the east and southeast over the next seven days.” There are various paths the cyclone could take, including veering away from the coast toward New Caledonia or Vanuatu, or moving southward over the Coral Sea.
Meanwhile, another tropical low is situated over the Indian Ocean, also potentially developing but unlikely to threaten Australian territories, as confirmed by How. “There is no threat to Western Australia or any offshore territories.” This system is expected to weaken as it remains out over open waters.
Along with the cyclones, Eastern Australia is set to experience considerably warmer temperatures, marking the end of cooler weather as spring approaches. A high-pressure system settling over the southern regions is directing warm northerly winds over parts of South Australia, Victoria, and Tasmania. Weather experts are warning of elevated fire danger risks associated with this heatwave, with temperatures soaring. “We’ll see very hot days and warm nights,” said How.
Temperatures across Southeastern Australia will swell significantly, with forecasts of mid to high 30s Celsius affecting much of Victoria and South Australia. For example, Melbourne is expected to hit 37°C and Adelaide around 38°C, creating dangerous conditions with strong and gusty winds posing additional risks. “These winds will combine with high temperatures to produce elevated fire danger,” How emphasized. The situation has escalated the risk of wildfires, particularly through Saturday.
Fire warnings have been issued, particularly for southeastern South Australia and large parts of western and central Victoria, including regions like the Mount Lofty Ranges and Melbourne itself, as fire danger reaches extreme levels this weekend. Residents in affected areas are urged to remain vigilant.
Despite the heat, forecasters are predicting some relief come Sunday, though high fire dangers will persist across several regions. The coastal areas of South Australia and Victoria are likely to experience temperatures hovering around the high 20s, with inland zones possibly reaching low to mid-30s, and Tasmania slightly cooler at around 21°C.
Saturday looks particularly fierce, with peak temperatures across states anticipated. Residents are advised to stay informed as conditions evolve.
For the coastal communities, clarity from the Bureau over cyclone developments is of utmost importance as more weather updates are anticipated. The community is encouraged to remain aware of updates, particularly as names and cyclone paths may affect local areas.