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15 January 2025

Bundesliga Season 2024/2025 Approaches Midway Point

Refereeing decisions reshape league standings as teams fight for positioning and survival

The Bundesliga season of 2024/2025 is approaching its last round of the first half, prompting reflections on how the standings might look if all refereeing decisions were accurate. The distinction between the official table and the 'True Table'—which adjusts for refereeing errors—reveals only slight changes at the top, but significant revisions for several teams, particularly those struggling in the midfield.

According to the football analysis platform wahretabelle.de, decisions made by match officials are often under scrutiny. A team of community experts reviews contentious calls, determining whether the referees erred on key plays. If they conclude a mistake was made, the results are amended to create this 'True Table'. The recent findings show Borussia Mönchengladbach as the greatest beneficiary of such adjustments, potentially shifting back up the rankings, whereas Stuttgart appears as the biggest loser.

The analysis shows the top of the table, currently dominated by FC Bayern Munich, would appear weaker overall if adjusted for these decisions. Bayern Munich has secured 39 points from their 16 matches, and they currently sit at the head of the table. Their recent record shows three wins, one loss, and one draw, with their next matchup being at home against TSG 1899 Hoffenheim.

Hoffenheim finds themselves near the relegation zone, holding 14 points after 16 games, which puts them just above the drop zone. Their recent form has been worrying, recording three losses and two draws from their last five outings. Upcoming challenges include matchups against top-tier teams which make their path to safety increasingly difficult.

Another team worth noting is 1. FC Heidenheim. The club presently languishes at 16th with only 13 points this season. Heidenheim has faced hard times recently with just one win and four losses from their last five games. They are set to face SV Werder Bremen, who currently sits comfortably mid-table, marking yet another tough test for the newly promoted side.

Meanwhile, the situation at FC Schalke 04 remains grim. Since their relegation, they have slid from 7th to 8th place on the all-time Bundesliga table, overtaken by Eintracht Frankfurt after their recent away victory. This shift signifies stark changes, with Schalke having dropped almost every season since they were last promoted. Their struggle to regain form and return to the league’s upper echelons is evident, particularly with upcoming matches against fellow relegation struggle teams.

Conversely, Holstein Kiel has been struggling even more, currently occupying 17th place with only 11 points from 17 matches. Out of their last five games, they have secured just one win, indicating severe challenges as they prepare to take on Hoffenheim at home.

This year’s Bundesliga not only brings team statistics but also highlights the variances introduced by refereeing decisions, reiteritating how they can drastically alter perceptions of team performance. The forthcoming games promise to be pivotal as teams scramble to amass points before the winter break. For example, Bayern Munich aims to extend their lead as they prepare for Hoffenheim, who could be just what they need to stabilize their season.

The Bundesliga is known for its competitive nature, and this season’s matches are increasingly showing why every point counts—especially for clubs like Schalke and Holstein Kiel. With potential shifts looming thanks to referee decisions and upcoming matches, it’s clear the Bundesliga title race and relegation battles are both shaping up to keep fans on the edge of their seats!