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06 January 2025

Biomarkers May Help Predict COVID-19 Treatment Success

Monitoring C-reactive protein ratios could indicate which patients benefit from high flow nasal cannula therapy.

COVID-19 pneumonia has presented significant challenges to healthcare systems worldwide, leading to acute hypoxemic respiratory failure (AHRF) in many patients. High flow nasal cannulas (HFNC) have emerged as effective respiratory support, yet distinguishing which patients can benefit most from this approach is still necessary. A recent study conducted within Hawaii’s Queen’s Health System revealed the potential of monitoring C-reactive protein (CRP) ratios as predictive tools for the successful application of HFNC.

Through examining 194 patients who were treated with HFNC from August 2020 to October 2022, researchers sought to evaluate how serial measurements of CRP and D-dimer levels could indicate which patients could avoid intubation. Elevated CRP levels have already been recognized as indicators of severe COVID-19 progression, making their analysis particularly relevant.

The study's findings highlighted significant differences between the CRP ratios of patients who were not intubated and those who were within the first three days of HFNC therapy. Non-intubated patients showed markedly lower CRP ratios compared to their intubated counterparts—a key indicator of their ability to successfully use HFNC. These observations stem from median CRP ratios recorded for non-intubated patients at 0.69 on Day 1, 0.49 on Day 2, and 0.33 on Day 3, contrasted with the higher median ratios of intubated patients at 0.96, 0.61, and 0.64, respectively.

Lead authors from the study pointed out, "Monitoring CRP ratios...can be helpful within the first three days as an objective adjunctive clinical tool to identify individuals who can continue to be supported with HFNC." The CRP ratio served as a useful predictor, with the study indicating it could accurately identify the necessity for intubation with about 75% probability on Day 3.

While D-dimer ratios did not demonstrate the same predictive trends during this timeframe, the emphasis on CRP ratios provides medical practitioners with valuable insights as they navigate the rapid treatment decisions required for COVID-19 patients. This line of investigation could optimize resource allocation and improve patient outcomes, freeing up intensive care unit resources for those who truly need intubation.

The researchers insisted on the importance of continuing to monitor biomarker trajectories beyond the immediate days following HFNC initiation. They stated, "We employed serial CRP ratios...viewed as a more pragmatic approach since patients served as their own controls." This method allowed flexibility and adaptability, particularly significant when medical resources are strained.

Future research could expand on these findings, potentially integrating additional biomarkers alongside CRP and D-dimer, to fortify predictive capabilities for HFNC success across varied populations. Emphasizing such research is pivotal, as communities with diverse ethnic backgrounds, including those predominantly affected by COVID-19, require insights tailor-made to their unique dynamics and healthcare challenges.

Overall, this study sheds light on the use of serial biomarker monitoring during HFNC application for COVID-19 pneumonia patients, underscoring how CRP ratios can aid clinicians. By fostering improved predictive insights, healthcare settings can bolster patient care strategies amid the challenges posed by respiratory failure stemming from SARS-CoV-2.