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Politics
21 September 2024

Biden Faces Global Anxieties As Allies Eye US Election

Leaders worldwide question the future of US foreign policy under upcoming political changes

President Joe Biden is set to enter a busy stretch of international diplomacy, actively engaging with allies who are increasingly anxious about the future direction of U.S. foreign policy, especially as he approaches the end of his presidency with just four months remaining. This heightened focus reflects global concerns about the potential return of former President Donald Trump or the possible ascendance of Vice President Kamala Harris, both of whom present different visions for America's role on the world stage.

On Friday, Biden began this diplomatic venture by welcoming Australian Prime Minister Anthony Albanese to his home near Wilmington, Delaware. Their discussions encompassed several pressing global issues, including the wars igniting tensions between Israel and Hamas, the continuing conflict in Ukraine, as well as China’s assertive actions in the South China Sea and its strained relationship with Taiwan. These matters are not just diplomatic pleasantries; they are central to shaping how the U.S. maintains its influence and presence internationally.

The importance of these talks can't be overstated. Jon Alterman, senior vice president at the Center for Strategic and International Studies, noted, “The more I talk to people around the world, the more I get a sense of the anxiety about the shape of the U.S. election.” This sentiment resonates particularly strongly among global leaders, who, as Biden engages with them, are also casting their look toward the uncertain political outcomes back home.

Biden's immediate agenda includes one-on-one discussions planned for Saturday with Indian Prime Minister Narendra Modi and Japanese Prime Minister Fumio Kishida. Both leaders are key members of the Quad, a strategic forum comprising Australia, India, Japan, and the United States, which is often seen as a counterbalance to China’s influence. The joint meeting of these leaders accentuates the focus on maintaining cooperative security arrangements amid regional tensions.

Adding personal touches to these gatherings, Biden even scheduled to hold dinner for these leaders at Archmere Academy, his alma mater, reinforcing the importance of these relationships not only on diplomatic, but also on personal levels.

While these diplomatic initiatives have merit, global watchers are observing closely. With Biden's looming departure, some believe his efforts might serve more as symbolical gestures rather than substantial policy shifts. The external perception is not lost; the White House’s recent engagements appear as more than just attempts to mend relationships but are basically survival strategies against rising questions about America’s foreign policy future.

Biden’s diplomatic scheduling transparently transpires as global unease about possible shifts grows. Both Trump and Harris represent starkly different strategies which could redefine U.S. engagement worldwide. Trump’s previous tenure saw tendencies toward isolationism and skepticism toward international alliances, prompting worries about America’s reliability as a global partner. Conversely, Harris could likely push for more inclusive international cooperation, building upon Biden's current policies.

It is this uncertainty threaded throughout Biden’s outreach—how I can consolidate allies for national interests—while the larger narrative is being driven by the broader political environment back home. Leaders have begun to brace for potential changes, as fears take hold about the nature of American leadership on the global stage.

The situational dynamics draw many parallels to historical shifts of power. Just as previous administrations have left their marks, the looming shift also beckons questions about how the future would be shaped based not solely on domestic policies, but on the world view each future leader might take. Alterman’s commentary highlights this well, asserting Biden’s efforts might be perceived more as “a sideshow,” encapsulated by foreign leaders’ wider anxieties over American political allegiance.

This tension extends past mere uncertainty; it bleeds heavily through international relationships. For allies, these are not just abstract discussions happening thousands of miles away but their own national interests at stake. Discussions about trade, climate change, and security measures hinge critically on the communications and trust established with American leadership.

With crises such as the Israel-Hamas conflict and the war in Ukraine unresolved, many nations are left worried about America’s intention toward commitments—whether Biden will be able to solidify hard positions or if they'd shift again under future leadership. The Quad nations, for example, highlight significant geopolitical connections drawn against the backdrop of China, causing worries for leaders as they scout for assurance of support against outside threats.

While Biden might be actively trying to assure his partners, the clock is ticking. Each day brings closer not just the end of his administration, but also increasing global uncertainty. New Zealand, Singapore, and South Korea have also expressed their eagerness for dialogues, signifying the wider diplomatic excitement but equally the tension being felt.

Countries across the spectrum are on lanes attempting to create resilience against being caught off-guard, continually seeking clarity. And with distant yet imminent prospects of the U.S. elections, allies are likely to hunker down, perhaps cautiously optimistic, yet acutely anxious about what representations on American foreign intentions will look like.

The stakes couldn’t be higher, as America’s role remains pivotal, pivotal not just for its allies but also for the global order. Biden’s push through this final lap might serve both as legacy-building for his administration but as historical commentaries on the environment facing his successors, creating unique challenges.

The world awaits not just what Biden can achieve through these engagements, but how they might echo through the corridors of power long after he leaves office. Will the relationships solidify? Or will fractures emerge as the political tides turn? While Biden’s mission capitalizes on assuring allies, the undercurrents of speculation surrounding Trump and Harris will loom over every conversation.

These enduring questions frame the narrative of Biden's forthcoming weeks, right through to the end of this presidency. And as the world watches closely, significant attention will be placed on how effectively these dialogues can translate to long-term peace and relations—not merely for today, but for the legacy of tomorrow.

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