Today : Sep 12, 2025
Economy
13 August 2025

US Layoffs Surge In July As AI And Budget Cuts Bite

A combination of artificial intelligence, federal downsizing, and economic pressures has driven job cuts to their highest level since the pandemic, with over 800,000 layoffs so far this year.

Layoffs in the United States soared to a staggering new high in July 2025, marking the sharpest monthly spike since the early chaos of the COVID-19 pandemic. According to data reported by Newsweek and corroborated by Hindustan Times, employers slashed 62,075 jobs last month—a 140% jump compared to July 2024 and a 29% increase from just the previous month. These figures, compiled by the outplacement firm Challenger, Gray & Christmas, paint a grim picture: the year-to-date total has now reached 806,383 cuts, up a whopping 75% over the same period last year and already 6% higher than all layoffs recorded in 2024.

This wave of job losses is the largest for January through July since 2020, when pandemic shutdowns pushed layoffs past 1.8 million. But what’s really behind the sudden surge? The answer, it seems, is a tangled mix of technological upheaval, government downsizing, and economic uncertainty—each amplifying the other in ways that few could have predicted just a year ago.

Artificial intelligence (AI) is at the center of the storm. Automation and AI-driven processes have already been linked to more than 20,000 job cuts in 2025, with over 10,000 of those coming in July alone, according to Newsweek. The trend is most pronounced in roles that are transactional, routine, and standardized—jobs often filled by junior employees or those performing repetitive administrative tasks. As Stephany, an assistant professor for AI and work at the University of Oxford, explained to Newsweek, “AI's immediate impact is on transactional, routine, and standardized work—particularly in junior roles.”

Jason Leverant, COO and president of AtWork Group, echoed this sentiment, telling Hindustan Times that automation is replacing jobs that are “dull, dirty or dangerous,” and that many white-collar roles in the “dull” category are already being supplanted by AI tools. Both Leverant and Stephany believe that AI will continue to reshape the labor market, but expect the changes to come “gradually through attrition and slower hiring rather than sudden mass layoffs.” Still, the numbers this summer suggest that for some, the pain is already very real.

But AI isn’t acting alone. Government downsizing, particularly under President Donald Trump’s Department of Government Efficiency (DOGE), has driven a dramatic reduction in the federal workforce. Since January, federal government layoffs have totaled 292,294—nearly a third of all job cuts this year. The effects have rippled outward, hitting not just agency staff but also contractors and organizations that depend on public funding. This so-called “DOGE Downstream Impact” has left nonprofits and healthcare providers reeling, according to Andrew Challenger, senior vice president at Challenger, Gray & Christmas. “We are seeing the federal budget cuts implemented by DOGE impact nonprofits and health care in addition to the government,” Challenger told Newsweek. He also noted, “AI was cited for over 10,000 cuts last month, and tariff concerns have impacted nearly 6,000 jobs this year.”

The private sector hasn’t escaped unscathed. Technology and telecom companies are slashing staff as they redirect investment toward AI and cloud infrastructure, while retailers are cutting jobs in response to weaker discretionary spending, higher costs, and changing consumer habits. According to Hindustan Times, finance, business services, and transportation sectors have also seen above-average cuts as companies scale back after the expansionary years of the pandemic.

Economic uncertainty is compounding the damage. Inflation, shifting demand, and global volatility have been cited as reasons for about 170,000 job losses so far in 2025. Store closures, plant shutdowns, bankruptcies, and restructuring have all played a part. Fabian Stephany, again speaking to Hindustan Times, characterized the current trend as “late-cycle cost discipline and post-pandemic normalization” rather than a full-blown jobs crisis. “Many firms are correcting for the overhiring of 2021 to 2022 while protecting margins through productivity gains, some of which are enabled by automation,” he said.

Despite the bleak headline numbers, the overall unemployment rate has remained relatively low—hovering in the low 4 percent range. This suggests that many displaced workers are finding new roles, at least for now. However, Leverant warned that if the pace of layoffs continues, unemployment could rise later this year. He cautioned, “If job cuts continue and the unemployment rate rises, it will only spark further concern, uncertainty, and potential volatility in the markets, creating a vicious cycle that we need to break.”

As for the future, experts see the labor market continuing to evolve under the pressure of AI and automation. The most immediate impacts are being felt in jobs that are easily automated, especially among junior staff and those whose work is highly repetitive. Both Leverant and Stephany expect the reshaping of roles to proceed incrementally, with companies opting for attrition and slower hiring rather than abrupt mass layoffs. Still, the specter of continued cuts looms large—especially if economic headwinds persist or intensify.

Some sectors are feeling the squeeze more than others. Public agencies, tech firms, and retailers are leading the cutbacks, but finance, business services, and transportation are not far behind. For many companies, the current wave of layoffs is about correcting the overexpansion of recent years and adapting to a new reality where technology can do more with fewer people. Yet for those on the receiving end of a pink slip, the reasons matter little—the challenge is finding a foothold in a job market that feels increasingly unstable.

Tariff concerns have also played a role, with nearly 6,000 jobs lost this year attributed to trade policy uncertainty. Store and plant closures, as well as outright bankruptcies, continue to drive layoffs across multiple sectors, further highlighting the interconnectedness of global economic trends and domestic employment.

What does all this mean for American workers? For some, especially those in middle-management or specialist roles, the path back to employment may be longer and more uncertain than in previous downturns. Leverant noted that while many are finding new jobs quickly, “some, especially in middle-management and specialist jobs, may face longer periods out of work.” The risk, he said, is that continued layoffs could erode consumer confidence and spark a negative feedback loop in the broader economy.

As July’s numbers show, the U.S. labor market is at a crossroads. The forces of automation, government policy, and economic volatility are converging in ways that are reshaping the landscape for millions of workers. Whether this represents a painful but temporary adjustment or the beginning of a more profound transformation remains to be seen. For now, the only certainty is uncertainty—and the knowledge that the world of work is changing faster than ever before.