Today : Sep 12, 2025
Economy
15 August 2025

Trump Administration Deregulation Sparks Energy And EV Upheaval

Sweeping policy reversals boost fossil fuels and tech innovation but trigger legal battles and threaten electric vehicle revenues across the United States.

On August 15, 2025, a pivotal transformation swept through the United States’ regulatory landscape. The Trump administration, newly returned to power, unleashed a suite of deregulatory policies aimed at boosting energy independence, accelerating technological innovation, and streamlining real estate development. While these moves have delighted some investors and industry leaders, they’ve also sparked fierce legal battles, market uncertainty, and a wave of concern among environmentalists and electric vehicle (EV) manufacturers.

At the heart of this shift is a bold reversal of Biden-era climate mandates. According to AINVEST, the administration’s “Power the Great American Comeback” initiative dismantled key Environmental Protection Agency (EPA) rules, including the Clean Power Plan 2.0 and the tailpipe emissions rule. Instead, the focus is now on promoting coal, natural gas, and nuclear energy—resources the administration claims will reduce costs and restore grid reliability. The Interior Department’s newly minted “project density” policy further tightens the screws on renewable energy, requiring solar and wind projects on federal land to match the energy output per acre of fossil fuel operations. For many solar and wind developers, this is a near-impossible bar, effectively sidelining their projects in favor of traditional energy sources.

This energy pivot has clear winners and losers. Companies like ExxonMobil and Chevron are poised to benefit from a resurgence in fossil fuel production, while grid modernization firms such as NextEra Energy may find opportunities in balancing the old with the new. There’s also a renewed interest in carbon capture and storage (CCS) technologies, as the administration seeks to blend energy dominance with at least a nod to environmental stewardship.

But not everyone is celebrating. The rollback of fuel economy rules has delivered a gut-punch to the electric vehicle industry. As reported by Benzinga, the National Highway Traffic Safety Administration (NHTSA) has frozen the issuance of paperwork needed for fuel economy credit deals, a move that has blocked roughly $100 million in revenue for Rivian and its competitors. This freeze comes on the heels of President Trump’s July policy that eliminated penalties for violating fuel economy standards, effectively removing a crucial incentive for automakers to invest in cleaner technologies.

Rivian’s director of public policy, Christopher Nevers, put it bluntly: “We had secured regulatory credit agreements that we are now unable to complete due to the current situation.” The Zero Emission Transportation Association, an industry trade group, has petitioned the U.S. Court of Appeals in Washington, D.C., urging the NHTSA to resume issuing compliance letters that show whether manufacturers are meeting or violating the country’s fuel economy standards. The stakes are high. Regulatory credit trading has long provided a steady revenue source for EV manufacturers—Tesla, for instance, earned $2.76 billion from Zero Emission Vehicle credits in 2024. That revenue stream has now vanished, leaving companies like Lucid Group, already grappling with significant cash burn, in an even more precarious position.

The reverberations extend beyond the auto industry. In real estate, the administration’s pro-business agenda has led to streamlined permitting and reduced environmental reviews for commercial projects. Provisions from the 2017 Tax Cuts and Jobs Act, such as bonus depreciation, are under consideration for extension, offering developers fresh tax relief. Industrial REITs like Prologis and Equity Residential may thrive in this climate of deregulation, while suppliers of construction materials such as Lennar could see demand spike from new infrastructure projects. However, there’s a catch: higher tariffs on construction materials and stricter immigration policies could drive up costs, offsetting some of the benefits.

On the technology front, the administration’s “America’s AI Action Plan” is a double-edged sword. The plan aims to accelerate AI innovation and fortify national security, with a focus on exporting full-stack AI solutions to allies, expediting data center permits, and blocking adversarial investments—particularly from China. The Committee on Foreign Investment in the United States (CFIUS) now scrutinizes transactions in AI, semiconductors, and biotechnology, all in the name of “America First” policies. For investors, this means opportunities abound in AI infrastructure and semiconductor firms. Companies like NVIDIA and AMD are expected to benefit from increased demand for AI chips and data centers, while cybersecurity firms such as Palo Alto Networks will play a crucial role as the administration prioritizes securing AI systems from ideological bias and foreign threats.

Yet, beneath the surface, legal and regulatory risks are brewing. The Trump administration’s proposal to rescind the EPA’s “endangerment finding”—the legal foundation since 2009 for regulating greenhouse gases under the Clean Air Act—has set the stage for a new wave of lawsuits and state-led climate regulations. As reported by The Daily Climate, legal experts warn that the EPA’s attempt to block state-level actions and lawsuits may not hold up in court, especially with states like Massachusetts and California gearing up for a fight. Richard Revesz, dean emeritus of the New York University School of Law, cautioned that such fragmentation could lead to a patchwork of state rules, raising costs and legal uncertainty for businesses.

Industry and environmental advocates echo these concerns, warning that the end of the federal finding could delay coordinated action on air quality, energy costs, and public health. “Such legal clashes may delay coordinated action, negatively affecting air quality, energy costs, and public health,” one expert summarized. The specter of a fragmented regulatory environment looms large, threatening to increase compliance costs for businesses and undermine the stability that investors crave.

So, where does this leave investors and industry watchers? According to AINVEST, the key is strategic positioning. In energy, the advice is to allocate toward traditional producers and grid infrastructure, while hedging against downturns in the renewable sector. In technology, the focus should be on AI and semiconductor firms, with a close eye on geopolitical tensions that could disrupt supply chains. For real estate, prioritizing industrial and residential REITs makes sense, but inflationary pressures from tariffs must be factored in.

Still, the regulatory landscape under the Trump administration is, as one analyst put it, a double-edged sword. While the short-term momentum favors pro-business reforms and deregulation, the long-term risks—legal challenges, public backlash, and regulatory volatility—cannot be ignored. Diversification across sectors and geographies remains crucial for navigating this rapidly evolving environment.

As the dust settles, one thing is clear: the stakes have never been higher. Whether these sweeping changes lead to sustained growth or ignite a new era of legal and political battles, only time will tell. For now, investors and industry leaders alike are watching, waiting, and—where possible—positioning themselves for whatever comes next.