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16 August 2025

Sunrun And JinkoSolar Stocks Surge Amid Global Solar Rally

Strong earnings, bullish price targets, and global policy shifts propel Sunrun and JinkoSolar to new highs as the solar sector outpaces expectations.

On Friday, August 15, 2025, the solar energy sector lit up trading screens as two major players—Sunrun Inc. and JinkoSolar—delivered standout performances, capturing the attention of investors, analysts, and renewable energy advocates alike. As the world’s appetite for clean energy continues to grow, these companies’ stock surges serve as both a barometer of market sentiment and a testament to the sector’s growing momentum. But what’s really fueling this rally, and should investors expect the sun to keep shining on solar stocks?

Sunrun Inc., the nation’s leader in distributed power plants, saw its stock [NASDAQ: RUN] spike by 9.02% during Friday’s session, according to StocksToTrade News. This uptick was hardly an isolated incident—in fact, Sunrun shares have been on a tear, jumping 32% after the company reported stellar second-quarter earnings that surpassed even the most optimistic analyst expectations. Over the past week, the stock has climbed an impressive 27.1%, closing at $11.53 and marking a sharp upward trajectory that’s hard to ignore.

The financial underpinnings of this rally are robust. Sunrun’s earnings per share for the second quarter of 2025 soared to $1.07, up from 55 cents a year earlier. Revenue also exceeded forecasts, hitting $569.34 million, a figure that reflects not just momentary success but a persistent upward trend. Over the past five years, revenue per share has grown by 20.12%, with the latest figure standing at $8.83. Gross margins have reached a healthy 59.9%, and the company’s current and quick ratios—1.4 and 0.6, respectively—signal a solid financial foundation.

But numbers only tell part of the story. Sunrun’s operational prowess is on full display, with the company achieving a historic summer record in energy capacity provision and maintaining a 70% storage attachment rate—meaning the majority of their solar installations include battery storage. This not only enhances grid resilience but also positions Sunrun at the forefront of the distributed energy revolution. Strategic moves such as transitioning to Oracle’s Warehouse Management system further underscore the company’s intent to scale efficiently and anticipate future growth.

Investor confidence has followed suit. Major financial institutions have taken notice, with JPMorgan raising its price target for Sunrun to $20 and Oppenheimer setting theirs at $21, both citing the company’s strong contracted value and strategic outlook. Wells Fargo also upped its target to $14, calling Sunrun a “stalwart pick” in the ever-evolving solar market. According to StocksToTrade News, these endorsements aren’t just optimistic forecasts—they’re grounded in Sunrun’s proven performance and strategic positioning.

Sunrun’s financial health story is further bolstered by a rise in cash flow, a strong net subscriber value, and a price-to-book ratio of 0.9, which hints at continued growth potential. The company has also managed its long-term debt strategically, reducing creation expenses and expanding margins. As Tim Bohen, lead trainer with StocksToTrade, put it, “I focus on momentum that’s visible right now. Speculation on future moves is outside my playbook.” For now, that momentum is unmistakably in Sunrun’s favor.

Meanwhile, across the globe, JinkoSolar rode its own wave of optimism. The company’s stock surged 8.88% to $23.65 on Friday, defying a short-term bearish trend that had some investors on edge. According to AInvest, this rally wasn’t just a blip; it was fueled by a confluence of global policy developments, technical momentum, and sector-wide enthusiasm for solar infrastructure.

First Solar, another sector heavyweight, outpaced even JinkoSolar with a 13.17% surge, demonstrating the breadth of the solar rally. This synchronized movement reflects both the sector’s resilience and the shifting policy landscape. In the U.S., the Energy Information Administration’s forecast that hydrogen production will remain dominated by natural gas stands in contrast to Europe, where solar-driven electricity price declines are reshaping the market. Recent deployments, such as Slovenia’s 85 MW solar capacity and the Philippines’ 4.99 MW floating solar array, highlight the global demand for solar solutions—even as the industry navigates complex regulatory environments.

BloombergNEF projects that solar deployment will continue to grow through 2025, despite looming restrictions on so-called Foreign Entities of Concern. This optimism is mirrored in the options market, where turnover for JinkoSolar’s September 2025 $25 call option shot up by 136.84%. Technical indicators on Friday showed JinkoSolar’s Relative Strength Index (RSI) at 27.8—an oversold territory—while the stock traded near the upper end of its Bollinger Bands, suggesting a potential short-term rebound. The 200-day moving average at $21.68 is now seen as a critical support level for the stock.

For investors with an eye on volatility, the options playbook offers intriguing possibilities. AInvest’s analysis highlights the JKS20250919C25 call, which offers “explosive potential if JKS breaks above $25, with high gamma ensuring rapid premium gains as the stock approaches the strike.” The backtest of JinkoSolar’s performance after a 9% intraday surge reveals a 3-day win rate of 51.37% and a maximum return of 4.47% on day 56, painting a picture of generally positive—if volatile—returns.

Sector-wide, the rally is being driven by a patchwork of global catalysts. U.S. import policy shifts, China’s polysilicon energy inspections, and intensified solar policy tailwinds have all played a role in re-rating the value proposition of solar infrastructure. European solar adoption, in particular, has contributed to electricity price declines, while the global push for green hydrogen is creating new opportunities—and challenges—for manufacturers like JinkoSolar.

As the dust settles on a week of dramatic gains, the key question for investors is whether this momentum can be sustained. Technical analysts urge caution, pointing to the importance of monitoring key support and resistance levels—such as a breakout above $23.96 or a breakdown below $21.875 for JinkoSolar—to confirm the sustainability of the trend. For Sunrun, the focus will be on maintaining its operational edge, capitalizing on strategic investments, and continuing to exceed market expectations in a sector where innovation and agility are paramount.

Ultimately, the solar sector’s latest rally is more than just a numbers game. It’s a story of resilience, adaptation, and an unwavering drive toward a cleaner energy future. Whether these companies can maintain their upward trajectory will depend on a complex interplay of policy, technology, and market dynamics—but for now, both Sunrun and JinkoSolar have given investors plenty to be excited about.