Today : Sep 10, 2025
Economy
02 September 2025

Gold And Silver Prices Break Records Amid Fed Uncertainty

Soaring precious metals reflect safe-haven demand as political turmoil, rate-cut expectations, and global trade tensions shake U.S. markets.

Gold is glittering brighter than ever in 2025, smashing through record highs and captivating both seasoned investors and casual observers alike. On Tuesday, September 2, during the Asian morning session, spot gold prices soared past the $3,500 mark, peaking at a historic $3,508.73 per ounce—a new all-time high that surpassed the previous record set just months earlier in April, according to AInvest. This surge is far from a one-day wonder: international gold prices have climbed more than 33% since the start of the year, and gold futures on the New York Mercantile Exchange aren’t far behind, closing at $3,543.80 per troy ounce on September 1 after hitting an intraday high of $3,557.10, as reported by Dow Jones.

What’s behind gold’s dazzling ascent? A potent cocktail of economic, political, and market forces has fueled this rally. For six consecutive trading days, gold has been on an upward tear. The primary driver: mounting expectations that the U.S. Federal Reserve will cut interest rates this September. Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell, during his August 22 speech at the Jackson Hole symposium, signaled a willingness to ease monetary policy—a green light for markets to anticipate lower rates in the near future. Lower interest rates generally make non-yielding assets like gold more attractive, since investors aren’t missing out on substantial returns from other safe investments like government bonds.

But that’s just the tip of the iceberg. The U.S. dollar has been steadily weakening, making gold cheaper and more appealing for international buyers. According to AInvest, the dollar’s decline is tied directly to these looming rate cuts, as well as to broader concerns about the health of American institutions. In fact, the gold market’s bullish momentum has been amplified by a global bond market sell-off, which has sent risk-averse funds flocking to the safety of precious metals.

Political drama in Washington has also played a starring role. President Trump’s public attacks on the Federal Reserve and his move to oust Fed Governor Lisa Cook have raised eyebrows about the central bank’s independence. This uncertainty has only added to investors’ jitters, potentially undermining confidence in U.S. assets. As Dow Jones noted, “Gold futures set a fresh record high on intensifying concerns around the U.S. Federal Reserve’s independence, mounting interest-rate-cut bets and tariff uncertainty.”

Tariff policies are another wild card. A recent U.S. Federal Court of Appeals ruling declared most of the President's global tariff policies illegal, injecting a fresh dose of uncertainty for U.S. importers and exporters. These legal battles, combined with persistent geopolitical tensions and ongoing trade disputes, have further strengthened gold’s reputation as a safe haven. No wonder gold ETF holdings surged by the largest amount since April last week, and analysts expect more net inflows in the days ahead.

Investors are also keeping a close eye on key economic data. Friday’s upcoming U.S. non-farm payroll report could shed more light on the health of the labor market. If the report reveals further weakness, it could provide additional justification for the Fed to cut rates, reinforcing gold’s bullish trajectory. ING analysts, cited by Dow Jones, emphasized that “investors are now awaiting Friday’s August jobs report for additional hints on the size and scope of potential rate cuts.”

It’s not just gold basking in the spotlight—silver is enjoying its own renaissance. On Monday, September 1, spot silver prices broke through the $40 per ounce barrier for the first time since 2011, reaching $40.84, according to AInvest. Silver has surged more than 40% in 2025, outpacing even gold’s impressive rally. The Silver Institute points out that strong industrial demand, especially from clean energy sectors like solar panel manufacturing, has contributed to this surge. Silver is heading toward a fifth consecutive year of supply deficit, and the market is feeling the pinch: silver ETF holdings have expanded for a remarkable seven months straight, and the silver lease rate—a measure of the cost to borrow the metal—remains elevated at around 2%, far above its usual near-zero level.

The U.S. Geological Survey has even proposed adding silver to the nation’s list of critical minerals, a move that would put it in the same league as palladium and potentially boost its strategic importance. This proposal has only added fuel to silver’s rally, as investors bet on continued tightness in supply and robust demand from both industry and investors seeking safe-haven assets.

The bullish sentiment has spilled over into the stock market, too. Shares of major gold miners soared on September 1, with Hochschild Mining up 6.76%, Green Up Pointing Triangle shares rising 6.2%, Fresnillo gaining 1.7%, and Harmony Gold climbing 4.6%, according to Dow Jones. The rally in mining stocks reflects not only higher commodity prices but also investor confidence that the precious metals boom has staying power.

Underlying all this market action is a sense of unease about the broader economic and political landscape. Over the past three years, both gold and silver have more than doubled in price, as investors have grappled with mounting risks in geopolitics, economics, and global trade. The combination of a weaker dollar, legal uncertainties over tariffs, and high-profile political clashes in Washington has created a perfect storm for safe-haven demand.

Technical analysts are watching closely, too. With gold breaking through key resistance levels, many believe the upward trend is likely to continue—at least in the short term. “Analysts have also pointed out that with the breakthrough of technical resistance levels, gold is likely to continue its upward trend this week,” AInvest noted. If the Federal Reserve does move to cut rates as widely expected, the appeal of zero-yield assets like gold and silver could grow even stronger.

Still, while the precious metals market is riding high, some caution is warranted. Much depends on how the Federal Reserve navigates the delicate balance between supporting the economy and maintaining its credibility. The upcoming jobs report and the Fed’s next moves will be critical in determining whether gold and silver can sustain their record-breaking pace—or if a reversal is just around the corner.

For now, though, gold and silver are the stars of the financial world, shining ever brighter as uncertainty swirls around them. Investors, analysts, and policymakers alike are watching closely, knowing that in times of turmoil, a flight to safety can turn into a stampede.