Today : Oct 02, 2025
Economy
24 September 2025

Global Trade Wars Leave Farmers Reeling As China Surges

Rising tariffs, shifting alliances, and mounting debt push American agriculture to the brink while China adapts and the EU forges new deals to safeguard its future.

American farmers, once hailed as the backbone of the nation, are now facing what many describe as a perfect storm of economic hardship. At the heart of their woes lies a series of escalating trade wars and tariffs, most notably those set in motion by former President Donald Trump. According to a statement released on September 23, 2025, by Libby Schneider, Deputy Executive Director of the Democratic National Committee (DNC), the consequences have been nothing short of catastrophic for rural America. "Trump promised he’d be the most pro-farmer president ever and that he’d never do anything to hurt farmers, but the numbers and real-life stories tell a completely different tale," Schneider declared, as reported by the DNC. "Trump continues to betray farmers and rural Americans, and it has to stop now."

Schneider’s criticism comes amid a wave of troubling statistics. In just the first half of 2025, more U.S. farms filed for bankruptcy than in any year since 2020. The financial pressure is mounting: farm debt is projected to jump 5% this year compared to last, reaching a record high. Agricultural economists now warn that the industry and family farmers are already in a recession, with many at a breaking point. The numbers are stark, but the stories on the ground are even more sobering—farmers, once promised prosperity, are now "literally begging for help," as Schneider put it.

One of the most damaging impacts of the trade war has been on the soybean industry. China, which for years was the largest buyer of U.S.-grown soybeans, has not purchased a single soybean from the U.S. fall crop in 2025. Instead, Chinese buyers have turned to Brazil, which is setting new export records and effectively sidelining American farmers. The consequences ripple across the heartland: higher fertilizer and equipment prices are squeezing already thin margins, and there is little hope for relief as long as the trade war persists. According to the DNC, the Trump administration has responded with "radio silence," leaving many farmers feeling abandoned.

But the impact of tariffs and trade wars is not confined to America’s fields. Globally, the landscape is shifting as countries scramble to adjust to new economic realities. In China, President Xi Jinping’s export engine appears unstoppable, even after five months of sky-high U.S. tariffs. As reported by multiple outlets, China is on track for a record trade surplus exceeding $1.2 trillion in 2025. Rather than retreating, Chinese manufacturers have simply redirected their exports away from the United States to other markets. This strategic pivot has allowed China to maintain its economic momentum, even as American farmers and manufacturers suffer.

The global surge in Chinese exports, however, is causing alarm among other governments. Many are weighing the potential damage to their domestic industries against the risk of antagonizing Beijing, which is now the top trading partner for more than half the planet. The dilemma is clear: push back too hard, and face retaliation from an economic giant; do nothing, and watch local industries falter under the weight of Chinese competition.

India, too, finds itself caught in the crossfire of tariff battles. Relations between New Delhi and Washington have soured after the Trump administration doubled tariffs on Indian goods to 50%. In response, Chinese ambassador Xu Feihong called for unity between China and India against "hegemony, power politics and any form of tariff and trade wars." Speaking at an event marking the 76th anniversary of China’s founding, Xu emphasized the importance of not letting boundary disputes define China-India relations. Instead, he urged both countries to focus on mutual respect, peaceful coexistence, and win-win cooperation.

Xu’s remarks came just weeks after Indian Prime Minister Narendra Modi and Chinese President Xi Jinping met on the sidelines of the Shanghai Cooperation Organisation summit in Tianjin. The two leaders, according to Business Standard, appeared to prioritize economic ties despite ongoing tensions. Xu pointed out that from January to August 2025, China-India bilateral trade in goods grew 10.4% year-on-year, reaching $102 billion. By September 22, the Chinese embassy and consulates in India had issued over 265,000 visas to Indian citizens—evidence, Xu said, of growing people-to-people and economic exchanges.

"The two sides should aim high, plan for the long term and find the right way to get along with each other in the spirit of mutual respect and trust, peaceful coexistence, common development and win-win cooperation," Xu stated, highlighting a vision that extends beyond mere trade figures. He underscored that China-India relations have "transcended bilateral scope and bear global and strategic significance."

Amid the turbulence, some regions are seeking their own solutions. On September 23, 2025, the European Union and Indonesia signed a landmark Comprehensive Economic Partnership Agreement. As reported by EUnews, this deal is more than just a trade pact—it’s a strategic response to the Trump administration’s tariffs and trade wars. The agreement slashes customs duties on European cars sold in Indonesia by 50%, cuts tariffs on exported EU machinery and pharmaceuticals by up to 15%, and reduces tariffs on chemicals by 25%. In total, 98.5% of Indonesian customs tariffs on EU products will be eliminated, saving EU exporters over €600 million in customs duties annually.

EU Trade Commissioner Maros Sefcovic hailed the agreement as "the beginning of an exciting new chapter," emphasizing that in today’s unpredictable global economy, "trade relationships are not merely economic tools – they are strategic assets." The deal is particularly significant for Europe’s green and digital transitions. It secures access to critical raw materials like nickel and cobalt—essential for electric vehicles and renewable energy storage—while promoting investment in clean technologies.

For the first time, Indonesia will allow 100% foreign ownership in telecommunications and IT services, opening new avenues for European investment. The agreement also eliminates tariffs on key EU agri-food exports and protects the "Made in" European excellence by banning imitations of 221 geographical indications. EU Commission President Ursula von der Leyen celebrated the deal, noting, "Our deal with Indonesia also provides us with a stable and predictable supply of critical raw materials, essential for Europe’s clean tech and steel industry."

As the world grapples with the fallout from protectionist policies and retaliatory tariffs, one thing is clear: trade wars are reshaping the global economic order. For American farmers, the pain is immediate and personal, with bankruptcy and debt looming large. For China, it’s a test of resilience and adaptability. For India and the EU, it’s a call to forge new partnerships and seek stability amid uncertainty. The choices made today will reverberate for years to come, shaping not just economies, but the very fabric of international relations.