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28 October 2025

Dangote Plans World’s Largest Oil Refinery Expansion

Nigeria’s Aliko Dangote announces plans to more than double refinery capacity in Lagos, signaling confidence in Africa’s energy future and promising thousands of new jobs.

In a bold move set to reshape Africa’s energy landscape, Nigerian billionaire Aliko Dangote has announced plans to more than double the capacity of his recently opened oil refinery in Lagos. The expansion, revealed at a media briefing on October 26, 2025, will see the facility’s output surge from 650,000 barrels per day to a staggering 1.4 million barrels per day. This leap positions the Dangote refinery not just as Africa’s largest, but as the world’s largest refinery ever built at a single site, surpassing even India’s Jamnagar refinery, according to statements reported by the Associated Press and Bloomberg.

Dangote’s decision, which he described as both a strategic response to rising regional fuel demand and a mark of faith in Nigeria’s economic future, comes less than two years after the refinery began operations in January 2024. The $19 billion project, which took nearly a decade to complete, has already been hailed as a turning point for Nigeria’s troubled oil sector—a sector that, despite the country’s status as a top crude producer, has long relied on imported refined petroleum due to chronic underperformance and poor maintenance of state-run refineries.

“When it is completed, this will be the largest refinery ever built at a single site, surpassing India’s Jamnagar refinery,” Dangote told reporters, as quoted by the Associated Press. The billionaire industrialist emphasized that the planned expansion is not just about numbers. It reflects, he said, “confidence in Nigeria, in Africa, and in our capacity to shape our own energy future.”

To support the ambitious growth, Dangote revealed that external financing will be critical. While specific details about the timeline and the sources of this financing remain under wraps, industry observers have noted the significance of such a large-scale investment in the region. Ikemesit Effiong, a partner at the Lagos-based research firm SBM Intelligence, described the move as laudable but pointed out that “not much is known yet regarding its timeline and available finances.”

The expansion is more than just a business maneuver. It’s a signal to both local and international markets that Nigeria is ready to reclaim a leading role in the global energy sector. As Bloomberg reported, Dangote sees the project as a “reflection of his confidence in the Nigerian economy as well as a response to rising regional demand.” The refinery’s increased capacity is expected to help meet growing fuel needs not only within Nigeria but across Africa and beyond, potentially transforming energy security for millions.

With the expansion, the refinery is projected to require over 65,000 workers, according to a statement shared by Dangote and reported by local media. This influx of jobs could provide a much-needed boost to Nigeria’s labor market, especially at a time when the country faces persistent unemployment and economic challenges. The sheer scale of the operation—already the largest of its kind in Africa—underscores the magnitude of Dangote’s vision.

The refinery’s journey has been anything but straightforward. Nigeria, despite being one of Africa’s top oil producers, has struggled for years with a paradox: exporting crude oil but importing most of its refined petroleum products. State-run refineries, once symbols of national pride, have become notorious for operating far below capacity due to decades of underinvestment and mismanagement. The result? A reliance on imports that has left the country vulnerable to global price shocks and supply disruptions.

The privately managed Dangote refinery was conceived as a solution to this dilemma. Since it began production in January 2024, it has helped ease pressure on both domestic consumption and export markets. Its impact has been felt not only in Nigeria but also in neighboring countries, many of which have struggled with fuel shortages and high prices. By expanding capacity, Dangote aims to solidify the refinery’s role as a linchpin in Africa’s energy future.

“We are officially announcing that we are expanding the Dangote Refinery from 650,000 barrels per day to 1.4 million barrels per day, which will make it the largest refinery in the world ever. With this expansion, we will require over 65,000 workers,” Dangote said at the media briefing, as reported by multiple outlets. The statement has been met with both excitement and cautious optimism within the energy industry.

The broader context adds another layer of significance. According to the Associated Press, Nigeria’s oil and natural gas sector has been hampered for years by underperforming infrastructure and policy uncertainty. The Dangote refinery’s success—and now its planned expansion—offers a rare bright spot in a sector that has often struggled to deliver on its promise. The expansion, if realized as planned, could bolster Nigeria’s standing as a regional energy powerhouse while reducing its dependence on imported fuel.

Still, questions remain. While Dangote’s confidence is palpable, some analysts have urged caution, pointing to the lack of detailed information about the expansion’s timeline and the sources of external financing. “The planned expansion is a laudable move but not much is known yet regarding its timeline and available finances,” noted SBM Intelligence’s Ikemesit Effiong. Others have raised concerns about potential labor disputes and environmental impacts, issues that have historically plagued large-scale industrial projects in Nigeria.

Yet, for many in Nigeria and across Africa, Dangote’s announcement is a cause for hope. The refinery’s expansion could help stabilize fuel supplies, lower costs for consumers, and create tens of thousands of jobs. It also signals a shift in the balance of power within the global energy industry, with African players taking on an increasingly prominent role.

As the world grapples with energy transitions and the search for more sustainable solutions, the Dangote refinery’s expansion stands out as a testament to the continent’s potential. It’s a reminder that, with the right mix of vision, investment, and determination, Africa can not only meet its own needs but also help shape the future of global energy.

For now, the eyes of the energy world are fixed on Lagos, where Aliko Dangote’s latest gamble could redefine what’s possible—not just for Nigeria, but for an entire continent.