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27 August 2025

Corning Rides AI Wave As Utilities Face Energy Shift

Surging demand for data and clean energy is driving record growth at Corning and transforming the U.S. utility sector, with renewables and infrastructure investments reshaping the future of power.

Corning Inc., a name synonymous with innovative glass and materials science, is riding high on a wave of technological transformation sweeping through the global economy. As the world’s appetite for faster internet, smarter devices, and cleaner energy grows, so too does the demand for the company’s specialized glass, ceramics, and advanced materials. But while Corning’s recent financial performance has dazzled Wall Street, a broader energy and electrification boom is reshaping the entire landscape for utilities, manufacturers, and investors alike.

Let’s start with the basics: Corning Inc. (traded as GLW on the NYSE) operates through six main business segments. These include Optical Communications, Display Technologies, Specialty Materials (think the Gorilla® Glass on your smartphone), Automotive, Life Sciences, and Hemlock and Emerging Growth Businesses—such as polysilicon for solar panels. According to a recent market snapshot, Corning’s Optical Communications arm is thriving, fueled by the global rollout of AI and 5G networks. The fiber-optic cable market is expected to grow at a brisk 8.46% annual rate through 2029, and Corning’s position at the heart of this expansion is hard to overstate.

In the second quarter of 2025, Corning reported a 12% year-over-year jump in core sales, with enterprise optical sales skyrocketing by an eye-popping 81%. This surge has made Optical Communications the clear engine of growth for the company. Corning’s patented fusion-draw process in Display Technologies gives it a near-unassailable lead, sharing 95% of the global market with just two other players and boasting gross margins nearly 10 percentage points higher than its competitors. Meanwhile, Gorilla® Glass continues to dominate the premium smartphone market, and its automotive and lab science divisions provide a steady, diversified revenue stream.

But Corning’s ambitions don’t stop at steady growth. The company’s Springboard strategy aims to add $4 billion in annual sales by 2026 and achieve a 20% operating margin. By mid-2025, Corning had already tacked on $3 billion to its annual run rate, prompting management to raise its internal goal to $6 billion. The solar business is projected to triple to $2.5 billion in revenue by 2028, and Automotive Glass Solutions is targeting a threefold increase by the end of 2026. In Q2 2025, Corning delivered a return on invested capital of 13.1%, expanded its core operating margin to 19%, and boosted free cash flow by 28% from the prior year to $451 million. Over the past decade, the company has bought back 800 million shares—halving its share count—and generated $26 billion for shareholders.

Of course, all this growth comes at a price. Corning’s shares have returned 32.3% over the past year, far outpacing the S&P 500’s 18.5%. The company now trades at an enterprise value-to-sales ratio of 3.62x—above its five-year average but below the broader market’s 4.40x. Its forward price/earnings ratio is a lofty 55x, more than double the S&P 500 average, reflecting sky-high expectations. Wall Street analysts remain bullish, with a consensus “Moderate Buy” rating and a 12-month price target of $68.42, just a shade above current levels. Insiders are still buying, and short sellers appear unconcerned, with only 1.7% of shares sold short. But with such rich valuations, investors are keeping a close eye on margins, leverage, and the cyclical risks inherent to the sector.

Corning’s story is just one thread in a much larger tapestry of change. Across the United States, families are feeling the squeeze from rising energy costs. According to the Bureau of Labor Statistics, electricity prices have climbed 5.5% and natural gas nearly 14% over the past year. The National Energy Assistance Directors Association estimates that the average household will shell out nearly $800 just to keep cool this summer—the highest figure in more than a decade.

It’s tempting to blame renewables for the spike in prices, especially when political voices, including former President Donald Trump, point fingers at wind and solar. But as reported by U.S. Global Investors, the reality is more nuanced. In New Jersey, for example, renewables account for only about 8% of electricity, and wind less than 1%. The much-maligned offshore wind projects off the Jersey Shore haven’t even been built. The real culprits? Soaring demand, an aging grid, higher natural gas prices, and the billions of dollars utilities are pouring into grid modernization.

After decades of flat consumption, U.S. electricity demand is now growing 2% to 3% annually nationwide—and in hotspots like Texas and the Mid-Atlantic, demand is rising by 10% or more each year. In July 2025, the country shattered its electricity demand record twice in two days, peaking at nearly 760 gigawatts. The AI revolution is a major driver: data centers gobbled up 180 terawatt-hours of power last year, and that figure could double by 2030. Add in the electrification of vehicles, a renaissance in domestic manufacturing, and hotter summers, and it’s clear why the grid is under such strain.

To keep up, utilities invested a record $178 billion in the grid last year—the thirteenth consecutive year of record spending, according to the Edison Electric Institute. Capital expenditures are expected to surpass $1.1 trillion over the next five years. This massive investment is not just about keeping the lights on; it’s about enabling the next era of digital and industrial growth. For investors, utilities—once considered staid dividend payers—are emerging as unexpected winners of the AI and electrification boom.

Meanwhile, the economics of renewables have never looked better. Globally, renewables now account for over 40% of electricity generation, with solar leading the charge for the twentieth year in a row. In the U.S., developers plan to add 64 gigawatts of new renewable capacity in 2025, more than half of it solar—a record annual buildout not seen since 2002. Utility-scale solar can now deliver electricity at about $0.04 per kilowatt-hour, less than half the cost of new coal or gas peaker plants. Private equity is voting with its wallet, pouring more money into renewables than fossil fuels. Ten years ago, solar was four times more expensive than fossil fuels; today, it’s more than 50% cheaper.

Of course, renewables aren’t perfect—they require new transmission lines, storage solutions, and backup generation. But contrary to some claims, wind and solar are not driving up prices. If anything, as noted by U.S. Global Investors, renewables help cushion consumers from the wild swings of natural gas markets. Looking further ahead, the Electric Power Research Institute projects that by 2050, household energy spending could fall by more than a third in real terms as gasoline and heating oil costs dwindle with the electrification of vehicles.

For investors and consumers alike, the message is clear: the energy transition is well underway, and companies like Corning are positioned at the crossroads of innovation, infrastructure, and sustainability. As long as they continue to execute on bold growth plans and keep costs in check, the rewards could be substantial—even as the challenges, and the stakes, continue to rise.