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16 August 2025

CK Hutchison’s $23 Billion Ports Sale Faces Delays

Analysts remain optimistic about CK Hutchison’s fundamentals as its global ports sale, entangled in US-China tensions, is pushed to 2026 amid regulatory and geopolitical hurdles.

CK Hutchison Holdings, the Hong Kong-based conglomerate helmed by billionaire Li Ka-shing, has found itself at the center of global financial headlines and geopolitical intrigue following its announcement of a US$23 billion deal to sell its entire portfolio of 43 overseas ports. The transaction, which includes two vital terminals at the Panama Canal, is being closely watched by investors and governments alike, with the stakes running high for the company, its shareholders, and the broader currents of international relations.

At a results briefing on August 14, 2025, CK Hutchison’s co-managing director Frank Sixt provided a candid update on the much-discussed ports disposal deal. Sixt made it clear that the transaction would not be completed this year, attributing the delay to the sheer complexity and scale of the agreement. “We are in a new stage of our deal and that includes, as we have said, discussions with a major strategic Chinese investor,” Sixt said, as reported by Transport Topics. He added, “I believe that there is a reasonable chance that those discussions will lead to a deal that is good for all of the parties, ourselves included, and most importantly, that will be capable of being approved by all of the relevant authorities.”

The sale, which was first unveiled in March, involves the transfer of 43 ports to a consortium led by US asset management giant BlackRock. The inclusion of two terminals at the Panama Canal—a key artery of global trade—has only heightened the deal’s strategic significance. According to South China Morning Post, the agreement could net CK Hutchison more than $19 billion in cash, a substantial windfall for the conglomerate.

Yet, the transaction has not been without controversy. The deal quickly became a geopolitical flashpoint, with US President Donald Trump framing it as a move to counter what he described as “Chinese influence” in the Panama Canal. Trump had previously vowed to “take back” the canal from China, making the deal a symbolic victory in the ongoing US-China rivalry. Meanwhile, pro-Beijing analysts and Chinese officials have voiced their displeasure, viewing the sale as a capitulation to American pressure and a betrayal of national interests.

Amid these crosscurrents, CK Hutchison has sought to appease all sides. After the exclusive negotiation window with the BlackRock-led consortium expired in late July without a definitive agreement, the company moved to invite a mainland Chinese firm into the consortium. While CK Hutchison has not officially named the partner, Bloomberg and other outlets have reported that China Cosco Shipping Corp., a state-owned giant, is in talks for a significant role. Kenny Tang Sing-hing, chairman of the Hong Kong Institute of Financial Analysts and Professional Commentators, told South China Morning Post, “The new mainland investor will be positive for the CK Hutchison port transactions to get approval by the mainland regulators.”

Despite the delays and diplomatic sensitivities, financial analysts remain largely upbeat about CK Hutchison’s prospects. JPMorgan analysts Karl Chan, Venus Choi, and Jocelyn Gao stated in a research note, “Management sounded hopeful that the global ports disposal deal would proceed,” though they acknowledged that completion may only happen in 2026 at the earliest. “This should ease investors’ biggest concern,” they wrote. “With or without the ports disposal, we see solid fundamentals as CK Hutchison managed to drive growth in all its key business segments.”

Swiss investment bank UBS echoed this optimism, maintaining a “buy” rating on CK Hutchison after the interim results briefing. “The beat is mainly driven by stronger performance in all segments,” UBS analysts John Lam, Agnus Ho, and Ben Ho wrote, referencing the company’s 11% increase in underlying profit for the first half of 2025—a figure that exceeded their expectations. Morgan Stanley also highlighted the better-than-expected profit growth, noting that a successful sale of the port business would be a further positive factor for the conglomerate.

HSBC, in its own report, described CK Hutchison as a “deep value stock” with the potential for more value to be unlocked through asset divestments. “Any successful asset divestment could help unlock its value. We believe its overall business is stabilising and 2025 would be a year for CK Hutchison to resume its earnings growth,” the bank’s analysts said.

Still, the company’s shares have not been immune to market volatility. On August 15, CK Hutchison’s stock fell 1% to HK$51.45, mirroring the broader Hang Seng Index’s dip for the day. The drop followed news of a 92% plunge in first-half profit, largely due to a one-time, non-cash loss from a telecom merger. Yet, it’s worth noting that through August 14, the company’s shares had gained an impressive 25% year-to-date, reflecting investor confidence in its underlying operations.

Operationally, the company’s ports and related services business has continued to perform robustly. Revenue in this segment rose 9% in the first half of the year, while earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization climbed 10%, driven by higher throughput and storage income in regions such as mainland China, Asia, the Middle East, Mexico, and Europe. “While underlying operations showed resilience, one-off losses and external challenges like commodity prices and regulatory hurdles for the ports sale temper the outlook,” observed Louis Wong, executive director of Phillip Capital Management (Hong Kong), as reported by South China Morning Post.

Looking ahead, much of the investor focus will remain on the fate of the ports deal and CK Hutchison’s ability to sustain cash flow and dividend growth. The addition of a Chinese partner is widely seen as a move to smooth regulatory approvals and balance the competing interests of Washington and Beijing. However, as Sixt has cautioned, the deal’s size and complexity mean that patience will be required. “There is a reasonable chance discussions will lead to a deal that is good for all parties – ourselves included – and most importantly be approved by all relevant authorities,” he reiterated.

For now, CK Hutchison finds itself walking a tightrope between East and West, business and politics, growth and caution. With strong fundamentals and a bold strategic vision, the company appears well-positioned to weather the uncertainties ahead—provided it can keep all parties at the negotiating table and regulators onside. Investors, analysts, and governments will be watching closely as this high-stakes deal continues to unfold.